Tropical Storm Ian Forms in the Middle of the Atlantic

Tropical Storm Ian formed on Monday in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Ian was located at latitude 21.8°N and longitude 50.4°W which put it about 1140 miles (1840 km) southeast of Bermuda.  Ian was moving toward the northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (95 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1007 mb.

The circulation of Tropical Storm Ian is not well organized.  A large upper low west of Ian is generating strong southwesterly winds which are blowing across the top of the tropical storm.  There is a large cyclonic circulation in the lower levels, but there are no thunderstorms near the center of circulation.  The thunderstorms are forming northeast of the center in a rainband that is well removed from the core of the storm.

Tropical Storm Ian will through a hostile environment during the next several days.  Although Ian will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C, the upper level trough will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear.  Ian is not likely to strengthen in the short term.  Eventually, later this week Ian will move farther from the upper level trough and it could strengthen somewhat at that time, if the low level circulation persists.

Tropical Storm Ian is moving around the western end of a subtropical ridge which is steering it toward the northwest and that general motion is expected to continue for another day or two.  When Ian moves farther north, it will turn toward the northeast and the tropical storm will begin to move faster.