Harvey Weakens to Tropical Storm, Still Dropping Heavy Rain on Texas

Hurricane Harvey weakened to a tropical storm on Saturday afternoon, but it was still dropping heavy rain on parts of Texas.  At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Harvey was located at latitude 29.1°N and longitude 97.6°W which put it about 45 miles (75 km) west-northwest of Victoria, Texas.  Harvey was moving toward the north-northwest at 2 m.p.h. (3 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 987 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Baffin Bay to High Island, Texas.

The core of Hurricane Harvey moved inland over San Jose Island on Friday night.  It passed over Rockport, Texas and moved slowly north-northwest on Saturday.  The strongest wind occurred near Port Aransas, Rockport and Ingleside.  Some of the peak wind gusts were:

Port Aransas          132 m.p.h.   (213 km/h)

Copano Village       125 m.p.h.  (202 km/h)

Lamar                      110 m.p.h.  (177 km/h)

Rockport                 108 m.p.h.  (174 km/h)

Taft                            90 m.p.h.  (154 km/h)

Other than the fact that it is over land, Tropical Storm Harvey is in an environment favorable for a tropical cyclone.  The upper level winds are weak and there is little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Harvey has weakened during the day, but it has maintained a very symmetrical structure.  Steady rain is falling in the core of the circulation and several bands of showers and thunderstorms in the outer portions of the circulation.  Tropical Storm Harvey has already produced heavy rain in some locations.  Some current rainfall totals are:

Aushell                   15.10″       (38 cm)

Coleto Creek         12.57″       (32 cm)

Richmond                9.60″       (24 cm)

Edna                       10.06″       (25 cm)

Danbury                  7.89″        (20 cm)

Sugarland               7.56″        (19 cm)

The steering winds are weak and Tropical Storm Harvey is forecast to make a slow counterclockwise loop during the next several days.  Since Harvey will not move very much, it will continue to rain in many of the same locations.  The potential for flooding will increase as the rain continues to fall.  Some rivers and streams could experience record flood levels.