Tropical Depression Sixteen-E formed south of Mexico on Wednesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Depression Sixteen-E was located at latitude 16.2°N and longitude 101.7°W which put it about 105 miles (165 km) south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. It was moving toward the north-northeast at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.
A Tropical Storm Watch was issued for the portion of the coast from Zihuatanejo to Punta Maldonado, Mexico.
A distinct center of circulation formed in a cluster of thunderstorms south of Mexico and that National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression Sixteen-E on Wednesday morning. The circulation of the depression was still organizing. Several bands of showers and thunderstorms were developing south and east of the center of circulation. There were fewer showers and thunderstorms in the northwestern quadrant of the circulation and the depression may have been pulling in drier air from Mexico.
The depression has 12 to 18 hours to strengthen before it makes landfall on the coast of Mexico. It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C. An upper level trough extends from the eastern U.S. to Mexico. The trough is producing westerly winds which are blowing toward the top of the circulation. Those winds are generating moderate wind vertical shear, which will inhibit intensification. Tropical Depression Sixteen-E could strengthen into a tropical storm before it reaches the coast of Mexico.
The upper level trough is forecast to steer Tropical Depression Sixteen-E toward the east. On its anticipated track the depression could make landfall east of Zihuatanejo in less than 24 hours. The depression will bring gusty winds, but heavy rain poses a greater threat. Heavy rain falling in steeper terrain could cause flash floods.
Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Depression Fifteen-E was moving farther away from Mexico. Tropical Depression Fifteen-E formed when momentum from the upper half of the circulation of former Hurricane Katia spun up a new surface circulation over the Eastern North Pacific. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E was located at latitude 14.9°N and longitude 120.6°W which put it about 890 miles (1435 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. It was moving toward the west at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.