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Tropical Storm Calvin Brings Gusty Winds and Rain to Hawaii

Tropical Storm Calvin brought gusty winds and rain to Hawaii on Wednesday. At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 17.7°N and longitude 155.6°W which put it about 160 miles (260 km) south of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for Hawaii County.

After Tropical Storm Calvin strengthened late on Tuesday, it started to weaken again on Wednesday morning. An upper level trough northwest of Hawaii was producing southwesterly winds that were blowing toward the top of Calvin’s circulation. There were strong easterly winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere. The combination of southwesterly winds in the upper troposphere and easterly winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere caused strong vertical wind shear. The winds in the upper troposphere blew the top part of Tropical Storm Calvin toward the northeast. The strong easterly winds near the surface pushed the lower part of Calvin quickly toward the west.

The strong vertical wind shear caused Tropical Storm Calvin to weaken on Wednesday morning. The center of Calvin at the surface was passing south of the Big Island of Hawaii. Bands revolving around the center at the surface consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern side of Tropical Storm Calvin where the wind was pushing air up the eastern slopes of the Hawaiian Islands. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) in the northern side of Calvin’s circulation. Winds in the southern part of Calvin were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26˚C. However, the upper level trough northwest of Hawaii will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Calvin will weaken to a tropical depression during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Calvin will continue to produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Hawaii during the next 24 hours. The strongest wind gusts will occur at higher elevations. Calvin could cause isolated minor wind damage. Locally heavy rain could cause flooding in some locations. Flood Watches are in effect for the Big Island of Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe.

Tropical Storm Calvin Speeds Toward Hawaii

Tropical Storm Calvin sped toward Hawaii on Tuesday. At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 17.6°N and longitude 150.5°W which put it about 330 miles (640 km) east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1002 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for Hawaii County.

Tropical Storm Calvin appeared to be getting stronger on Tuesday afternoon. More thunderstorms formed near the center of Calvin’s circulation. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Even though Tropical Storm Calvin appeared to be strengthening, the vertical structure of Calvin’s circulation seemed to tilt a little to the north in the middle and upper levels of the troposphere. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) in the northern side of Tropical Storm Calvin. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 25 miles (40 km) in the southern side of Calvin.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures will increase to 26˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are blowing from the south. Those winds are not very strong, but they will cause some vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Calvin could strengthen during the next 24 hours in spite of the vertical wind shear.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern and Central Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Calvin will move near the Big Island of Hawaii on Tuesday night. Calvin will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Hawaii on Tuesday night and Wednesday. Flood Watches are in effect for the Big Island of Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe.

Calvin Prompts Tropical Storm Watch for Hawaii

The potential impacts of Tropical Storm Calvin prompted the issuance of a Tropical Storm Watch for Hawaii. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 16.8°N and longitude 141.4°W which put it about 920 miles (1480 km) east of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for Hawaii County.

The U.S. Central Pacific Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Hawaii County on Monday morning because of the potential effects of Tropical Storm Calvin. Former Hurricane Calvin weakened to a tropical storm on Sunday as it moved over cooler water east of Hawaii. Tropical Storm Calvin moved over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures were near 24˚C. Less energy was transported into the atmosphere from the cooler water and many of the thunderstorms in Calvin’s circulation dissipated. The bands revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Calvin consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) in the northern side of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the southern side of the circulation.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment that will be mostly unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Calvin could continue to weaken during the next 24 hours because of the cooler water even though there will be little vertical wind shear. Calvin will move over slightly warmer water when it gets closer to Hawaii.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern and Central Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Calvin will move near Hawaii on Tuesday night. Calvin could still be a tropical storm when it approaches Hawaii. Tropical Storm Calvin will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Hawaii on Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Hurricane Calvin Churns Toward the Central Pacific

Hurricane Calvin churned toward the Central Pacific Ocean on Saturday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Calvin was located at latitude 15.0°N and longitude 130.4°W which put it about 1660 miles (2670 km) east of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 975 mb.

Hurricane Calvin weakened on Saturday when it moved over cooler water east of Hawaii. Thunderstorms around the center of Calvin’s circulation did not rise as high into the atmosphere. The structure of Hurricane Calvin remained well organized even though the hurricane was weaker. A small circular eye was still present at the center of Calvin’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Calvin. Storms near the core still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Calvin was small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Calvin was 16.5. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 9.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 25.8.

Hurricane Calvin will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Calvin will continue to weaken during the next 24 hours because of the cooler water even though there will be little vertical wind shear.

Hurricane Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern and Central Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Calvin will continue to move toward the Central Pacific Ocean. Calvin could approach Hawaii on Tuesday. Calvin could still be a tropical storm when it approaches Hawaii.

Calvin Rapidly Intensifies to a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Calvin rapidly intensified to a major hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean on Friday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Hurricane Calvin was located at latitude 13.6°N and longitude 123.2°W which put it about 1080 miles (1740 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Calvin was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 140 m.p.h. (220 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 960 mb.

Hurricane Calvin rapidly intensified to a major hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Friday morning. A small circular eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) formed at the center of Calvin’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Calvin. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The size of the circulation around Hurricane Calvin increased as Calvin rapidly intensified. Winds to hurricane force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Calvin was 22.1. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 10.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 32.4.

Hurricane Calvin will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Calvin could intensify during the next 12 hours. Calvin will move over cooler water on Saturday. Hurricane Calvin is likely to weaken when it moves over the cooler water.

Hurricane Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Calvin will move toward the Central Pacific Ocean. Calvin could approach Hawaii on Tuesday. Calvin could still be a tropical storm when it approaches Hawaii.

Tropical Storm Calvin Forms South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Calvin formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Wednesday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 10.4°N and longitude 110.6°W which put it about 725 miles (1170 km) south of the southern tip of Baja California. Calvin was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California strengthened on Wednesday morning and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Calvin. The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Calvin was asymmetrical. Most thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western side of Calvin’s circulation. Bands in the eastern side of Calvin consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the southern side of the center of Tropical Storm Calvin. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. The circulation around Calvin was small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Calvin’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment that will be mostly favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the southwestern part of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the southwestern U.S. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Calvin’s circulation. Those winds will cause vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be enough to prevent Calvin from getting stronger. Tropical Storm Calvin will intensify during the next 36 hours. Calvin could strengthen to a hurricane by Friday.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will Calvin toward the west during the next few days. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Calvin will move farther away from Mexico. Calvin could move over the Central Pacific Ocean early next week.

Tropical Storm Celia Passes South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Celia passed south of Baja California on Saturday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Celia was located at latitude 18.5°N and longitude 110.8°W which put it about 310 miles (500 km) south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Celia was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 994 mb.

Tropical Storm Celia began to be affected by cooler water to its northwest on Saturday. The distribution of thunderstorms around Celia’s circulation was asymmetrical. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern half of Tropical Storm Celia, which was still over warmer water. Bands in the western half of Celia, which was over cooler water, consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Celia. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the western side of Celia.

Tropical Storm Celia will move into an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next few days. Celia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are colder than 26˚C. It will move under the southeastern part of an upper level ridge over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce northeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Celia’s circulation. Those winds will cause more vertical wind shear. A combination of cooler water and more vertical wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Celia to weaken during the next few days.

Tropical Storm Celia will move south of a high pressure system over northern Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific. The high pressure system will steer Celia toward the west-northwest during the next few days. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Celia will move farther away from Baja California.

Tropical Storm Celia Churns Southwest of Mexico

Tropical Storm Celia churned over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Mexico on Wednesday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Celia was located at latitude 14.2°N and longitude 104.4°W which put it about 330 miles (535 km) south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Celia was moving toward the northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Celia’s circulation. Even though Tropical Storm Celia strengthened a little on Wednesday, the distribution of thunderstorms remained asymmetrical. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western and southern parts of Celia’s circulation. Bands in the eastern and northern parts of Tropical Storm Celia consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. An upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean was producing moderate east-northeasterly winds that were blowing toward the top of Celia’s circulation. Those winds were causing some vertical wind shear and the wind shear was contributing to the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms.

Tropical Storm Celia will move through an environment that will become more favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Celia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. Although the upper level ridge over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific will continue to produce east-northeasterly winds, those winds will weaken during the next 48 hours. When the upper level winds weaken, the vertical wind shear will diminish. Tropical Storm Celia is likely to intensify during the next 48 hours. Celia could strengthen to a hurricane on Friday.

Tropical Storm Celia will move southwest of a high pressure system over Mexico during the next 48 hours. The high pressure system will steer Celia toward the west-northwest. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Celia will move south of Baja California by Saturday.

Celia Strengthens Back to a Tropical Storm

One time Tropical Storm Celia strengthened back to a tropical storm over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Mexico on Tuesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Celia was located at latitude 11.6°N and longitude 99.5°W which put it about 365 miles (590 km) south of Acapulco, Mexico. Celia was moving toward the west at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

After passing south of Guatemala during the weekend as a weak tropical depression, former Tropical Storm Celia strengthened back to a tropical storm on Tuesday morning. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles in the northern half of Tropical Storm Celia. Winds in the southern half of Celia were blowing at less than tropical storm force. The circulation around Tropical Storm Celia continued to be poorly organized. The strongest thunderstorms were occurring in bands located west of the center of Celia’s circulation. Bands in the eastern half of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. An upper level ridge over southern Mexico was producing moderate easterly winds that were blowing across the top of Celia’s circulation. Those winds cause moderate vertical wind shear and the wind shear was causing the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms.

Tropical Storm Celia will move through an environment that will be only marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Celia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. However, the upper level ridge over southern Mexico will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification during the next day or so. Tropical Storm Celia will move into an area where the upper level winds are weaker later this week. That will cause the vertical wind shear to diminish. Tropical Storm Celia is likely to intensify when the shear diminishes. Celia could strengthen to a hurricane by the end of the week.

Tropical Storm Celia will move south of a high pressure system over Mexico during the next 48 hours. The high pressure system will steer Celia toward the west-northwest. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Celia will move parallel to the coast of southwest Mexico.

Tropical Depression Celia Passes South of Guatemala

Tropical Depression Celia passed south of Guatemala on Sunday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Depression Celia was located at latitude 12.8°N and longitude 92.4°W which put it about 130 miles (210 km) southwest of Puerto San Jose, Guatemala. Celia was moving toward the west at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.

The circulation around Tropical Depression Celia weakened during the weekend. A few thunderstorms formed near the center of Celia, but most of the circulation consisted of bands of showers and lower clouds. An upper level ridge over southeastern Mexico produced easterly winds that blew across the top of Tropical Depression Celia. Those winds caused moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear blew the tops off of many of the thunderstorms that started to develop in Tropical Depression Celia.

Tropical Depression Celia will move through an environment mostly unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Celia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. However, the upper level ridge over southeastern Mexico will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will prevent intensification during the next day or so. Tropical Depression Celia will move into an area where the upper level winds are weaker early next week. That will cause the vertical wind shear to diminish. Tropical Depression Celia could strengthen when the shear diminishes.

Tropical Depression Celia will move south of a high pressure system over Mexico during the next 48 hours. The high pressure system will to steer Celia toward the west. On its anticipated track Tropical Depression Celia will move parallel to the south coast of Mexico.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Blas weakened south of Baja California. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Blas was located at latitude 19.0°N and longitude 113.0°W which put it about 335 miles (540 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Blas was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb.