Tag Archives: Baja California

Tropical Storm Norma Forms South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Norma formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Tuesday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Norma was located at latitude 13.2°N and longitude 107.3°W which put it about 690 miles (1110 km) south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Norma was moving toward the west-northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California strengthened on Tuesday and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Norma. The circulation around Tropical Storm Norma exhibited more organization on Tuesday afternoon. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Norma’s circulation. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) in the northern side of Tropical Storm Norma. Winds in the southern side of Norma’s circulation were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Norma will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Norma will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Norma will intensify during the next 36 hours. Norma could strengthen to a hurricane within 36 hours. Tropical Storm Norma could start to intensify rapidly after an inner core with an eye and eyewall develop.

Tropical Storm Norma will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over Mexico. The high pressure system will steer Norma toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. Tropical Storm Norma will move more toward the north later this week when it moves around the western end of the high pressure system. On its anticipated track Norma could approach the southern end of Baja California during the weekend. Norma is likely to be a hurricane when it approaches Baja California.

Tropical Storm Max Brings Wind and Rain to Southern Mexico

Tropical Storm Max brought wind and rain to southern Mexico on Monday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Max was located at latitude 17.6°N and longitude 101.0°W which put it about 40 miles (65 km) east of Zihuantenajo, Mexico. Max was moving toward the north-northeast at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 995 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Acapulco to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.

The center of Tropical Storm Max made landfall on the coast of Mexico between Petatlan and Papanoa on Monday afternoon. The maximum sustained wind speed in Tropical Storm Max at the time of landfall was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Max’s circulation. A weather station at Puerto Vicente Guerrero reported a sustained wind speed of 41 m.p.h. (66 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 m.p.h. (116 km/h).

Tropical Storm Max will move around the western side of a high pressure system over the Caribbean Sea and Mexico. The high pressure system will steer max toward the north-northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Max will move inland over Guerrero during Monday night.

Tropical Storm Max will weaken rapidly when it moves over the Sierra Madre del Sur mountains in Gurrero. Even though Max will weaken rapidly, the tropical storm is likely to drop locally heavy rain in parts of Guerrero. The heaviest rain will fall in places where the winds push the air up the slopes of mountains. The heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Lidia was on the threshold of intensifying to a hurricane south of Baja California. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located at latitude 18.1°N and longitude 110.9°W which put it about 340 miles (545 km) south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Lidia was moving toward the east-northeast at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 985 mb.

Tropical Storm Lidia is forecast to intensify to a hurricane as it moves toward the west coast of Mexico on Monday night. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Playa Perula to Escuinapa, Mexico. A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for Las Islas Marias. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Escuinapa to Bahia Tempehuaya, Mexico. A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for the portion of the coast from Manzanillo to Playa Perula, Mexico.

Tropical Storm Max Forms Near Southwest Mexico

Tropical Storm Max formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean near the coast of southwest Mexico on Sunday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Max was located at latitude 16.3°N and longitude 101.9°W which put it about 100 miles (160 km) south-southwest of Zihuantenajo, Mexico. Max was moving toward the north-northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Acapulco to Punta San Telmo, Mexico.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean near the southwest coast of Mexico strengthened during Sunday evening and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Max. More thunderstorms formed near the center of Tropical Storm Max on Sunday evening. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Max’s circulation. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Wind to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of Max.

Tropical Storm Max will move around the western side of a high pressure system over the Caribbean Sea and Mexico. The high pressure system will steer max toward the north during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Max will make landfall on the coast of Mexico west of Zihuatenajo on Monday evening.

Tropical Storm Max will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 18 hours. Max will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge that extends from Mexico to the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Max’s circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification. Tropical Storm Max is likely to intensify before it makes landfall in Mexico.

Tropical Storm Max will bring gusty winds to the coast of southwest Mexico. Max will also drop heavy rain of parts of Guerrero and Michoacan. Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Lidia continued to meander south of Baja California. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located at latitude 18.2°N and longitude 112.6°W which put it about 370 miles (595 km) south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Lidia was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Tropical Storm Lidia is forecast to start to move toward the northeast on Monday and to strengthen to a hurricane. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Las Islas Marias and the portion of the coast from Playa Perula to Mazatlan, Mexico. Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the portions of the coast from Manzanillo to Playa Perula and from Bahia Tempehuaya to Mazatlan, Mexico.

Tropical Storm Lidia Meanders South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Lidia meandered over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Saturday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located at latitude 16.2°N and longitude 112.2°W which put it about 485 miles (780 km) south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Lidia was moving toward the west-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 995 mb.

Tropical Storm Lidia meandered slowly south of Baja California on Saturday. The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Lidia continued to be asymmetrical on Saturday. Many of the thunderstorms were occurring in a bands in the southern and western parts of Lidia’s circulation. Bands in the northern and eastern parts of Tropical Storm Lidia consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms near the center of Lidia’s circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of Lidia’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Lidia will move through an environment that will be marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Lidia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge that extends from Mexico to the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Lidia’s circulation. Those winds will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear is likely to inhibit intensification of Tropical Storm Lidia during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Lidia will be in an area where the steering currents are weak during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Lidia is likely to continue to meander the south of Baja California on Sunday. An upper level trough west of California will move closer to Lidia on Monday. The upper level trough is likely to steer Lidia toward the northeast early next week. Lidia could approach the west coast of Mexico by Tuesday. Tropical Storm Lidia could strengthen to a hurricane as it approaches the coast of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Lidia Moves South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Lidia moved south of Baja California on Wednesday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located at latitude 15.6°N and longitude 109.4°W which put it about 505 miles (815 km) south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Lidia was moving toward the northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb.

Tropical Storm Lidia strengthened gradually over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Wednesday. Even though Tropical Storm Lidia was a little stronger, the distribution of thunderstorms continued to be asymmetrical. Many of the thunderstorms were occurring in a bands in the western part of Lidia’s circulation. Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Lidia consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. More thunderstorms formed near the center of Lidia’s circulation on Wednesday evening. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Lidia’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Lidia will move through an environment that will be a little more favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Lidia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge that extends from Mexico to the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Lidia’s circulation. Those winds will weaken a little on Thursday and there will be a little less vertical vertical wind shear. The reduction of wind shear could allow Tropical Storm Lidia intensify a little faster during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Lidia will move around the western part of a high pressure system over Mexico. The high pressure system will steer Lidia toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Lidia will remain far to the south of Baja California on Thursday.

Tropical Storm Lidia Forms Southwest of Mexico

Tropical Storm Lidia formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Mexico on Tuesday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located at latitude 11.°N and longitude 107.0°W which put it about 790 miles (1270 km) south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico. Lidia was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Mexico strengthened on Tuesday morning and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Lidia. The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Lidia was asymmetrical. Many of the thunderstorms were occurring in a bands in the western part of Lidia’s circulation. Bands in the eastern side of Tropical Storm Lidia consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Storms in the bands in the western part of Lidia started to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the west of the tropical storm. Wind to tropical storm force extended out 35 miles (55 km) in the western side of Lidia’s circulation. The winds in the eastern part of the circulation were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Lidia will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Lidia will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C. It will move over the southern part of an upper level ridge that extends from Mexico to the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Lidia’s circulation. Those winds are contributing to the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms and they will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear may not be enough to stop Lidia from strengthening. Tropical Storm Lidia could intensify gradually during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Lidia will move around the western part of a high pressure system over Mexico. The high pressure system will steer Lidia toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Lidia will move farther away from the west coast of Mexico.

Tropical Storm Kenneth Strengthens a Little

Tropical Storm Kenneth strengthened a little over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Wednesday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Kenneth was located at latitude 15.7°N and longitude 124.2°W which put it about 1055 miles (1700 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Kenneth was moving toward the west-northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

Tropical Storm Kenneth got a little stronger on Wednesday, but the distribution of thunderstorms around was still asymmetrical. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the western side of the center of Kenneth’s circulation. Many of the thunderstorms were occurring in that rainband. Bands in the eastern half of Tropical Storm Kenneth consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) in the northern side of Kenneth’s circulation. The winds in the southern part of the circulation were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Kenneth will move through an environment that will become unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Kenneth will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C. An upper level trough east of Hawaii will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Kenneth’s circulation. Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase. Tropical Storm Kenneth will start to weaken when the vertical wind shear increases.

Tropical Storm Kenneth will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Kenneth toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Kenneth will stay far away from Baja California and Hawaii.

Tropical Storm Kenneth Forms Southwest of Baja California

Tropical Storm Kenneth formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Tuesday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Kenneth was located at latitude 15.1°N and longitude 121.0°W which put it about 900 miles (1450 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Kenneth was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California strengthened on Tuesday afternoon and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Kenneth. The distribution of thunderstorms around Tropical Storm Kenneth was very asymmetrical. Most of the thunderstorms were occurring in a couple of bands in the northwestern part of Kenneth’s circulation. Bands in the other parts of the tropical storm consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force were also occurring in the northwestern quadrant of Tropical Storm Kenneth. The winds in the other parts of Kenneth’s circulation were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Kenneth will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Kenneth will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Kenneth’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification. Tropical Storm Kenneth could intensify on Wednesday, if the vertical wind shear is not too strong. An upper level trough east of Hawaii will produce southwesterly winds that will affect Kenneth later this week. The southwesterly winds will cause more vertical wind shear and the wind shear will cause Tropical Storm Kenneth to weaken.

Tropical Storm Kenneth will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Kenneth toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Kenneth will move farther away from Baja California.

Jova Weakens to a Tropical Storm

Former Hurricane Jova weakened to a tropical storm over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean west of Baja California during Friday night. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Jova was located at latitude 21.5°N and longitude 124.6°W which put it about 945 miles (1520 km) west of the southern tip of Baja California. Jova was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 986 mb.

Former Category 5 Hurricane Jova weakened to a tropical storm over cooler water during Friday night. Even though Jova weakened to a tropical storm, its circulation was well organized. Tropical Storm Jova completed an eyewall replacement cycle as it moved over cooler water. The original inner eye and eyewall dissipated. The outer eyewall surrounded a clear area at the center of Jova’s circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the center of Tropical Storm Jova. The thunderstorms did not rise as high in the atmosphere because of the cooler water at the surface of ocean. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of Jova’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Jova will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Jova will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 24°C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Jova will continue to weaken gradually over cooler water, even though there will be little vertical wind shear. Jova could weaken to a tropical depression by the end of the weekend.

Tropical Storm Jova will move around the southern part of a high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Jova toward the west-northwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Jova will move farther away from Baja California.

Hurricane Jova Weakens Southwest of Baja California

Hurricane Jova weakened over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Hurricane Jova was located at latitude 18.3°N and longitude 118.6°W which put it about 645 miles (1040 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Jova was moving toward the west-northwest at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 951 mb.

Hurricane Jova started an eyewall replacement cycle on Thursday. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the original eye and eyewall. A larger outer eyewall surrounded the original eye and eyewall. The inner eyewall, which was where the strongest winds were, began to weaken after the outer eyewall developed. The inner eyewall was still evident on microwave satellite images on Thursday night. A larger clear area, sometimes called a moat, was between the inner eyewall and the outer eyewall. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the two concentric eyewalls.

Hurricane Jova started to weaken as the eyewall replacement cycle progressed. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Jova’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 10.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 34.0.

Hurricane Jova will move through an environment that will become unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Jova will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are cooler than 26°C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Jova will weaken during the next 24 hours as the inner eyewall dissipates. Jova will weaken more quickly when it moves over cooler water.

Hurricane Jova will move around the southern part of a high pressure system over northern Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Jova toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Jova will move farther away from Baja California.