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Hurricane Dora Churns Toward the Central Pacific

Hurricane Dora churned toward the Central Pacific Ocean on Friday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 13.7°N and longitude 130.1°W which put it about 1735 miles (2790 km) east of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.

Hurricane Dora weakened gradually on Friday as it moved over slightly cooler water. An eye was no longer visible on satellite images at the center of Dora’s circulation. The inner end of a rainband wrapped all the way into the center of circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Dora. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was still very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 17.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 23.2.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will continue to become less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26.5C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora is likely to continue to weaken gradually during the next 24 hours. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move over the Central Pacific Ocean during the weekend. Dora could pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Hurricane Dora Strengthens to Cat. 4

Hurricane Dora strengthened to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 14.1°N and longitude 123.4°W which put it about 2160 miles (3480 km) east of the South Point, Hawaii. Dora was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (225 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (280 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 950 mb.

Hurricane Dora intensified to Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Thursday. A small circular eye was at the center of Dora’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Dora. Storms Near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora remained very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 34.0. Hurricane Dora was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Charley when Charley hit Southwest Florida in 2004.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment that will become slightly less favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora could start to weaken as it moves over slightly cooler water. Dora could also start to weaken if the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora could pass south of Hawaii early next week.

Dora Rapidly Intensifies to a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Dora rapidly intensified to a major hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Wednesday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Hurricane Dora was located at latitude 15.2°N and longitude 116.9°W which put it about 700 miles (1130 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Dora was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 956 mb.

Hurricane Dora continued to intensify rapidly on Wednesday and Dora reached major hurricane intensity on Wednesday evening. A small eye with a diameter of 12 miles (19 km) was at the center of Dora’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Dora. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane in all directions.

The circulation around Hurricane Dora was very small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 20 miles (30 km) from the center of Dora’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was only 5.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 29.2. Most of Hurricane Dora’s circulation would fit inside the outer eyewall of Typhoon Khanun.

Hurricane Dora will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Dora will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Dora is likely to continue to intensify during the next 24 hours. Dora could continue to intensify rapidly during the next 12 hours. Since the circulation around Hurricane Dora is so small, any changes in the environment will have large effects on the intensity of Hurricane Dora.

Hurricane Dora will move south of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Dora toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Dora will move farther away from Mexico. Dora could be southeast of Hawaii by the early next week.

Tropical Storm Calvin Brings Gusty Winds and Rain to Hawaii

Tropical Storm Calvin brought gusty winds and rain to Hawaii on Wednesday. At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 17.7°N and longitude 155.6°W which put it about 160 miles (260 km) south of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for Hawaii County.

After Tropical Storm Calvin strengthened late on Tuesday, it started to weaken again on Wednesday morning. An upper level trough northwest of Hawaii was producing southwesterly winds that were blowing toward the top of Calvin’s circulation. There were strong easterly winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere. The combination of southwesterly winds in the upper troposphere and easterly winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere caused strong vertical wind shear. The winds in the upper troposphere blew the top part of Tropical Storm Calvin toward the northeast. The strong easterly winds near the surface pushed the lower part of Calvin quickly toward the west.

The strong vertical wind shear caused Tropical Storm Calvin to weaken on Wednesday morning. The center of Calvin at the surface was passing south of the Big Island of Hawaii. Bands revolving around the center at the surface consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern side of Tropical Storm Calvin where the wind was pushing air up the eastern slopes of the Hawaiian Islands. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) in the northern side of Calvin’s circulation. Winds in the southern part of Calvin were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 26˚C. However, the upper level trough northwest of Hawaii will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Calvin will weaken to a tropical depression during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Calvin will continue to produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain in Hawaii during the next 24 hours. The strongest wind gusts will occur at higher elevations. Calvin could cause isolated minor wind damage. Locally heavy rain could cause flooding in some locations. Flood Watches are in effect for the Big Island of Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe.

Tropical Storm Calvin Speeds Toward Hawaii

Tropical Storm Calvin sped toward Hawaii on Tuesday. At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 17.6°N and longitude 150.5°W which put it about 330 miles (640 km) east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1002 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for Hawaii County.

Tropical Storm Calvin appeared to be getting stronger on Tuesday afternoon. More thunderstorms formed near the center of Calvin’s circulation. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Even though Tropical Storm Calvin appeared to be strengthening, the vertical structure of Calvin’s circulation seemed to tilt a little to the north in the middle and upper levels of the troposphere. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) in the northern side of Tropical Storm Calvin. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 25 miles (40 km) in the southern side of Calvin.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures will increase to 26˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are blowing from the south. Those winds are not very strong, but they will cause some vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Calvin could strengthen during the next 24 hours in spite of the vertical wind shear.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern and Central Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Calvin will move near the Big Island of Hawaii on Tuesday night. Calvin will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Hawaii on Tuesday night and Wednesday. Flood Watches are in effect for the Big Island of Hawaii, Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe.

Calvin Prompts Tropical Storm Watch for Hawaii

The potential impacts of Tropical Storm Calvin prompted the issuance of a Tropical Storm Watch for Hawaii. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 16.8°N and longitude 141.4°W which put it about 920 miles (1480 km) east of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for Hawaii County.

The U.S. Central Pacific Hurricane Center issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Hawaii County on Monday morning because of the potential effects of Tropical Storm Calvin. Former Hurricane Calvin weakened to a tropical storm on Sunday as it moved over cooler water east of Hawaii. Tropical Storm Calvin moved over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures were near 24˚C. Less energy was transported into the atmosphere from the cooler water and many of the thunderstorms in Calvin’s circulation dissipated. The bands revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Calvin consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) in the northern side of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 60 miles (95 km) in the southern side of the circulation.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment that will be mostly unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Calvin could continue to weaken during the next 24 hours because of the cooler water even though there will be little vertical wind shear. Calvin will move over slightly warmer water when it gets closer to Hawaii.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern and Central Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Calvin will move near Hawaii on Tuesday night. Calvin could still be a tropical storm when it approaches Hawaii. Tropical Storm Calvin will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Hawaii on Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Hurricane Calvin Churns Toward the Central Pacific

Hurricane Calvin churned toward the Central Pacific Ocean on Saturday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Calvin was located at latitude 15.0°N and longitude 130.4°W which put it about 1660 miles (2670 km) east of Hilo, Hawaii. Calvin was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 975 mb.

Hurricane Calvin weakened on Saturday when it moved over cooler water east of Hawaii. Thunderstorms around the center of Calvin’s circulation did not rise as high into the atmosphere. The structure of Hurricane Calvin remained well organized even though the hurricane was weaker. A small circular eye was still present at the center of Calvin’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Calvin. Storms near the core still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Calvin was small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Calvin was 16.5. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 9.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 25.8.

Hurricane Calvin will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 25˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Calvin will continue to weaken during the next 24 hours because of the cooler water even though there will be little vertical wind shear.

Hurricane Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern and Central Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Calvin will continue to move toward the Central Pacific Ocean. Calvin could approach Hawaii on Tuesday. Calvin could still be a tropical storm when it approaches Hawaii.

Calvin Rapidly Intensifies to a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Calvin rapidly intensified to a major hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean on Friday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Hurricane Calvin was located at latitude 13.6°N and longitude 123.2°W which put it about 1080 miles (1740 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Calvin was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 140 m.p.h. (220 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 960 mb.

Hurricane Calvin rapidly intensified to a major hurricane over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California on Friday morning. A small circular eye with a diameter of 17 miles (28 km) formed at the center of Calvin’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Calvin. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The size of the circulation around Hurricane Calvin increased as Calvin rapidly intensified. Winds to hurricane force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Calvin was 22.1. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 10.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 32.4.

Hurricane Calvin will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Calvin could intensify during the next 12 hours. Calvin will move over cooler water on Saturday. Hurricane Calvin is likely to weaken when it moves over the cooler water.

Hurricane Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Calvin will move toward the Central Pacific Ocean. Calvin could approach Hawaii on Tuesday. Calvin could still be a tropical storm when it approaches Hawaii.

Calvin Intensifies to a Hurricane

Former Tropical Storm Calvin intensified to a hurricane on Thursday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Hurricane Calvin was located at latitude 12.7°N and longitude 117.1°W which put it about 850 miles (1365 km) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Calvin was moving toward the west at 13 m.p.h. (20 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Calvin intensified rapidly to a hurricane during the past 30 hours. The inner end of rainband wrapped around the center of Hurricane Calvin’s circulation. An eye was beginning to appear at the center of circulation on satellite images. The eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms. The strongest winds were occurring in the northeastern part of the ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Calvin. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.

The circulation around Hurricane Calvin was small. Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) in the northeastern quadrant of Calvin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Hurricane Calvin.

Hurricane Calvin will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where then upper level winds that are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Hurricane Calvin will intensify during the next 24 hours. Calvin could intensify rapidly at times once the inner core is more fully formed.

Hurricane Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Calvin toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Calvin will move toward the Central Pacific Ocean. Calvin is likely to weaken when it moves over cooler water in the Central Pacific, but it could be east of Hawaii by early next week.

Tropical Storm Calvin Forms South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Calvin formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California on Wednesday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was located at latitude 10.4°N and longitude 110.6°W which put it about 725 miles (1170 km) south of the southern tip of Baja California. Calvin was moving toward the west at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean south of Baja California strengthened on Wednesday morning and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Calvin. The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Calvin was asymmetrical. Most thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the western side of Calvin’s circulation. Bands in the eastern side of Calvin consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the southern side of the center of Tropical Storm Calvin. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. The circulation around Calvin was small. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Calvin’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move through an environment that will be mostly favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Calvin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the southwestern part of an upper level ridge over Mexico and the southwestern U.S. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Calvin’s circulation. Those winds will cause vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be enough to prevent Calvin from getting stronger. Tropical Storm Calvin will intensify during the next 36 hours. Calvin could strengthen to a hurricane by Friday.

Tropical Storm Calvin will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will Calvin toward the west during the next few days. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Calvin will move farther away from Mexico. Calvin could move over the Central Pacific Ocean early next week.