Tag Archives: Marianas

Typhoon Mawar Strengthens to Equivalent of Cat. 5 Hurricane

Typhoon Mawar strengthened to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale over the Western North Pacific Ocean west of the Marianas on Thursday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Mawar was located at latitude 14.6°N and longitude 142.2°E which put it about 145 miles (230 km) west-northwest of Guam. Mawar was moving toward the west-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 165 m.p.h. (270 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 200 m.p.h. (320 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 910 mb.

Bands in the eastern side of Typhoon Mawar’s circulation were still producing gusty winds and locally heavy rain over parts of Guam on Thursday morning. A Flash Flood Warning was in effect for Guam.

Typhoon Mawar intensified after it moved west of the Marianas on Thursday morning. Mawar strengthened to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane. A circular eye with a diameter of 26 miles (43 km) was present at the center of Typhoon Mawar. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Mawar. Storms near the core of Mawar’s circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions. The removal of large quantities of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Mawar increased after an eyewall replacement cycle finished and Mawar intensified again. Winds to typhoon force extended out 65 miles (105 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 250 miles (400 km) from the center of Mawar. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Mawar was 36.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 19.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 56.6. Mawar was bigger and stronger than Hurricane Maria was when Maria hit Puerto Rico in 2017.

Typhoon Mawar will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Mawar could intensify during the next 24 hours unless a new eyewall replacement cycle begins.

Typhoon Mawar will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Mawar will move farther away from the Marianas. Mawar could move south of the Ryukyu Islands in a few days.

Typhoon Mawar Hits Guam

Typhoon Mawar hit Guam early on Wednesday. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Mawar was located at latitude 13.7°N and longitude 144.9°E which put it about 20 miles (30 km) east-southeast of Andersen Air Force Base, Guam. Mawar was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 140 m.p.h. (220 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 160 m.p.h. (265 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 937 mb.

Typhoon Warnings were in effect for Guam and Rota. Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for Tinian and Saipan. Typhoon Watches were also in effect for Tinian and Saipan.

Powerful Typhoon Mawar brought strong, gusty winds and heavy rain to Guam early on Wednesday. A weather station at the Guam International Airport (PGUM) reported a sustained wind speed of 71 m.p.h. (115 km/h) and a wind gust of 105 m.p.h. (170 km/h). Mawar was also bringing strong winds and rain to Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

Typhoon Mawar was the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale when it hit Guam. The size of the circulation around Typhoon Mawar increased when an eyewall replacement cycle occurred in the the core of Mawar’s circulation. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 145 miles (225 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Mawar was 28.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 17.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 46.1. Mawar was not quite as strong as Hurricane Ida was when Ida hit Southeast Louisiana in 2021, but Mawar was bigger than Ida was.

Typhoon Mawar was in the latter stages of an eyewall replacement cycle when it hit Guam on early on Wednesday. A small circular eye was at the center of Mawar’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Mawar. Storms near the core of Mawar’s circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions. The removal of mass continue to caused the surface pressure to remain low.

Typhoon Mawar will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Mawar could intensity during the next 24 hours after it completes the current eyewall replacement cycle.

Typhoon Mawar will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Mawar will move away from the Marianas later today. Mawar will continue to bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan during the next few hours. Typhoon Mawar is capable of causing regional severe damage in Guam. Widespread power outages are possible. Heavy rain is likely to cause flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect for Guam. Mawar will also cause a destructive storm surge along the coast of Guam. Weather conditions in the Marianas will improve slowly when the core of Typhoon Mawar moves farther to the west.

Powerful Typhoon Mawar Approaches Guam

Powerful Typhoon Mawar was approaching Guam on Tuesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Mawar was located at latitude 12.4°N and longitude 145.8°E which put it about 110 miles (175 km) southeast of Guam. Mawar was moving toward the north-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 190 m.p.h. (305 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 920 mb.

Typhoon Warnings were in effect for Guam and Rota. Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for Tinian and Saipan. Typhoon Watches were also in effect for Tinian and Saipan.

Typhoon Mawar strengthened to the equivalent of a strong Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Tuesday morning. A circular eye with a diameter of 20 miles (32 km) was at the center of Mawar’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Mawar. Storms near the core of Mawar’s circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions. The removal of mass continue to caused the surface pressure to remain low.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Mawar increased as Mawar appeared to go through a quick eyewall replacement cycle. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Mawar’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (220 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Mawar was 33.3. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 15.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 48.9. Mawar was similar in intensity to Hurricane Ian when Ian hit Southwest Florida in 2022. Typhoon Mawar was a little smaller than Hurricane Ian was.

Typhoon Mawar will move through an environment favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Mawar could intensity a little more during the next 24 hours. If the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall, then another eyewall replacement cycle could begin. Another eyewall replacement cycle would cause Typhoon Mawar to weaken temporarily.

Typhoon Mawar will move around the southern part of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the core of Typhoon Mawar will reach Guam in 12 hours. Mawar will be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it reaches the Marianas. Typhoon Mawar will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan. The core of Mawar with the strongest winds could move over Guam. Typhoon Mawar will be capable of causing regional severe damage when it reaches Guam. Heavy rain is likely to cause flooding. A Flood Watch is in effect for Guam. Mawar will also cause a destructive storm surge along the coast of Guam. The subtropical high pressure system will steer Typhoon Mawar more toward the west-northwest after it moves west of Guam.

Typhoon Mawar Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of Major Hurricane

Typhoon Mawar rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Western North Pacific Ocean south-southeast of Guam on Monday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Mawar was located at latitude 10.8°N and longitude 146.7°E which put it about 255 miles (410 km) south-southeast of Guam. Mawar was moving toward the north-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 947 mb.

Typhoon Warnings were in effect for Guam and Rota. Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for Tinian and Saipan. Typhoon Watches were also in effect for Tinian and Saipan.

Typhoon Mawar rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane on Monday. A small circular eye was present at the center of Mawar’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Mawar. Storms near the core of Mawar’s circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions. The removal of mass continue to cause the surface pressure to decrease quickly.

The circulation around Typhoon Mawar was small. Winds to typhoon force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Mawar’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Mawar was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 9.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 33.4. Mawar was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Dennis when Dennis hit Northwest Florida in 2005.

Typhoon Mawar will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Mawar is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours. If the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall, then concentric eyewalls could form. If concentric eyewalls form, then an eyewall replacement cycle could cause Typhoon Mawar to weaken temporarily.

Typhoon Mawar will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Mawar will approach Guam in than 24 hours. Mawar is likely to be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it reaches the Marianas. Typhoon Mawar will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan. Mawar will be capable of causing regional severe damage when it reaches Guam. Typhoon Mawar will start to move south of a subtropical high pressure system when it approaches the Marianas. The subtropical high will steer Mawar more toward the west-northwest later this week.

Typhoon Mawar Prompts Warning for Guam

Typhoon Mawar prompted the issuance of a Typhoon Warning for Guam on Monday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Mawar was located at latitude 10.3°N and longitude 146.8°E which put it about 290 miles (465 km) south-southeast of Guam. Mawar was moving toward the north-northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 964 mb.

Typhoon Warning were in effect for Guam and Rota. Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for Tinian and Saipan. Typhoon Watches were also in effect for Tinian and Saipan.

Typhoon Mawar continued to intensify on Monday morning. A small circular eye formed at the center of Mawar’s circulation. A ring of strong thunderstorms surrounded the eye and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Mawar. Storms near the core of Mawar’s circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions. The removal of mass was causing the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Mawar was small. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Mawar’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 120 miles (190 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Mawar was 17.8. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 9.2 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 27.0. Mawar was similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Zeta when Zeta hit Louisiana in 2020.

Typhoon Mawar will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western part of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Mawar will intensify during the next 36 hours. Mawar could intensify more rapidly at times. Typhoon Mawar is likely to strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane within 36 hours.

Typhoon Mawar will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the north-northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Mawar will approach Guam in 36 hours. Mawar could be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it reaches the Marianas. Typhoon Mawar will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan. Mawar will move south of a subtropical high pressure system when it approaches the Marianas. The subtropical high will steer Mawar more toward the west-northwest later this week.

Mawar Strengthens to a Typhoon

Former Tropical Storm Mawar strengthened to a typhoon over the Western North Pacific Ocean south-southeast of Guam on Sunday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Mawar was located at latitude 8.3°N and longitude 148.1°E which put it about 455 miles (735 km) south-southeast of Guam. Mawar was moving toward the north-northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 978 mb.

Typhoon Watches were in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

The circulation around Typhoon Mawar exhibited better organization on Sunday morning. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the northern, western and southern sides of the center of Mawar’s circulation. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center. Storms near the center of circulation generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm in all directions. The removal of mass was causing the surface pressure to decrease. Winds to typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) in the southern half of Mawar’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 85 miles (135 km) from the center of Typhoon Mawar.

Typhoon Mawar will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western end of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Mawar will intensify during the next 48 hours. Mawar could intensify rapidly after an inner core with an eye and an eyewall form. Typhoon Mawar could strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane within 48 hours.

Typhoon Mawar will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the north-northwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Typhoon Mawar will approach the Marianas in 48 hours. Mawar could be the equivalent of a major hurricane when it reaches the Marianas. Typhoon Mawar will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

Tropical Storm Mawar Develops South-southeast of Guam

Tropical Storm Mawar developed over the Western North Pacific Ocean south-southeast of Guam on Saturday. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Mawar was located at latitude 6.4°N and longitude 149.1°E which put it about 595 miles (960 km) south-southeast of Guam. Mawar was moving toward the north-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

Typhoon Watches were in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

Former Tropical Depression 02W strengthened on Saturday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Mawar. The circulation around Tropical Storm Mawar was organizing quickly. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the western and southern sides of the center of Mawar’s circulation. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 65 miles (105 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Mawar.

Tropical Storm Mawar will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. Mawar will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western end of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Mawar will intensify during the next 48 hours. Mawar could intensify rapidly after an inner core with an eye and an eyewall form. Tropical Storm Mawar is likely to strengthen to a typhoon within 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Mawar will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Mawar toward the north-northwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Mawar will affect Pulawat during the next 24 hours. Mawar will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Pulawat. Tropical Storm Mawar will approach the Marianas in 72 hours. Mawar will be a typhoon when it approaches the Marianas, which is why Typhoon Watches were issued for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

Tropical Depression Forms South-southeast of Guam

A tropical depression formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean south-southeast of Guam on Friday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Depression 02W was located at latitude 5.6°N and longitude 149.0°E which put it about 115 miles (185 km) south of Pulawat and about 595 miles (960 km) south-southeast of Guam. Tropical Depression 02W was moving toward the north-northwest at 3 m.p.h. (5 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1002 mb.

An area of low pressure over the Western North Pacific Ocean became better organized on Friday. The Japan Meteorological Agency classified the system as a tropical depression and the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center designated the system as Tropical Depression 02W. The circulation around Tropical Depression 02W was organizing quickly on Friday night. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of the tropical depression. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical depression. The removal of mass was causing the surface pressure to decrease.

Tropical Depression 02W will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 48 hours. The tropical depression will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western end of the axis of an upper level ridge over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Depression 02W will intensify during the next 48 hours. The tropical depression is likely to strengthen to a tropical storm during the next 12 hours. It is likely to intensify to a typhoon within 48 hours.

Tropical Depression 02W will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer the tropical depression toward the north-northwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Depression 02W will affect Pulawat during the next 36 hours. Tropical Depression 02W will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Pulawat. Tropical Depression 02W could reach the Marianas within four days. It is likely to be a typhoon when it reaches the Marianas.

Malakas Intensifies to a Typhoon North of Yap

Former Tropical Storm Malakas intensified to a typhoon north of Yap on Monday. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Malakas was located at latitude 14.5°N and longitude 135.6°E which put it about 365 miles (585 km) north-northwest of Yap. Malakas was moving toward the north-northwest at 9 m.p.h (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Malakas intensified to a typhoon on Monday over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the western, southern and eastern sides of the center of Malakas. An eyewall appeared to be forming, but the rainband had not yet wrapped completely around the northern side of the center of circulation. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Malakas. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon. Winds to typhoon force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Malakas. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 250 miles (400 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Malakas will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Malakas will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Malakas’ circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be large enough to prevent strengthening. Typhoon Malakas will intensify during the next 36 hours. Malakas could intensify more rapidly after an inner core with an eye and an eyewall develops. Typhoon Malakas could strengthen to a the equivalent of a major hurricane.

Typhoon Malakas will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next several days. The high pressure system will steer Malakas toward the north during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track Typhoon Malakas will remain west of the Marianas during the next several days. Malakas will move toward the northeast after it moves around the western end of the high pressure system. Typhoon Malakas could approach Iwo To in three days.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Depression Megi dropped heavy rain over the central Philippines. There were reports of mudslides and casualties caused by the heavy rain. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Depression Megi was located at latitude 11.3°N and longitude 124.0°E which put it about 40 miles (65 km) south-southeast of Placer, Philippines. Megi was moving toward the northwest at 5 m.p.h (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

Tropical Storm Malakas Passes Between Guam and Yap

Tropical Storm Malakas passed between Guam and Yap on Saturday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Malakas was located at latitude 12.0°N and longitude 139.7°E which put it about 345 miles (555 km) west of Guam. Malakas was moving toward the northwest at 29 m.p.h (46 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

Tropical Storm Malakas brought gusty winds and heavy rain to Fais on Saturday night as it passed between Guam and Yap. The circulation around Malakas strengthened on Saturday. The heaviest rain was occurring in a band that was wrapping around the southern side of the center of Tropical Storm Malakas. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Malakas. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 130 miles (210 km) from the center of Malakas.

Tropical Storm Malakas will move through an environment mostly favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Malakas will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the southwestern part of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce southeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Malakas’ circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be large enough to prevent strengthening. Tropical Storm Malakas will intensify during the next 36 hours. Malakas could strengthen to a typhoon during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Malakas will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean during the next several days. The high pressure system will steer Malakas toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Malakas will remain west of the Marianas during the next several days. Malakas will move more toward the north when it reaches the western end of the high pressure system. Malakas could approach Iwo To in four days.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, former Tropical Depression 03W strengthened to Tropical Storm Megi near the Philippines. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Megi was located at latitude 11.3°N and longitude 125.9°E which put it about 25 miles (40 km) east of Guiuan, Philippines. Megi was moving toward the northwest at 5 m.p.h (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb. Tropical Storm Megi could drop heavy rain over Samar and Leyte. Locally heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.