Tag Archives: Tropical Storm Meari

Tropical Storm Meari Brings Rain to Tokyo

Tropical Storm Meari brought rain to Tokyo on Saturday morning. At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Meari was located at latitude 35.4°N and longitude 139.2°E which put it about 90 miles (145 km) southwest of Tokyo, Japan. Meari was moving toward the northeast at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

Tropical Storm Meari brought rain to the region around Tokyo on Saturday morning. The heaviest rain was falling in bands in the eastern and southern parts of Meari’s circulation. Much of the heavier rain was falling south and east of Tokyo. Bands in the northern and western parts of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The strongest winds were occurring along the coast of Honshu southeast of Tokyo.

Tropical Storm Meari was moving under the southern part of an upper level trough centered northwest of Japan. The upper level trough was producing southwesterly winds that were steering Meari toward the northeast. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Meari will move east of Japan during the next 24 hours. The rain over Honshu will diminish when Meari moves away from the coast.

Tropical Storm Meari will move through an environment unfavorable for a tropical cyclone during the next several days. Meari will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are colder than 26˚C. The upper level trough will continue to produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Meari’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The combination of colder Sea Surface Temperatures and moderate vertical wind shear could cause Tropical Storm Meari to make a transition to an extratropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Meari could strengthen a little during the transition to an extatropical cyclone.

Tropical Storm Meari Forms South of Japan

Tropical Storm Meari formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan on Thursday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Meari was located at latitude 29.2°N and longitude 136.0°E which put it about 500 miles (805 km) south-southwest of Tokyo, Japan. Meari was moving toward the north at 3 m.p.h. (5 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1003 mb.

The circulation around an area of low pressure over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan strengthened on Thursday afternoon and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Meari. The distribution of thunderstorms around Tropical Storm Meari was asymmetrical. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern half of Meari’s circulation. Bands in the northern half of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. Tropical Storm Meari was under the southern part of a narrow upper level ridge south of Japan that extended from east to west. The upper level ridge was producing northerly winds that were blowing toward the top of Meari. The winds were causing vertical wind shear and they were the reason for the asymmetrical distribution of thunderstorms. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the southeastern quadrant of Tropical Storm Meari. The wind in the other parts of Meari’s circulation was blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Meari will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 36 hours. Meari will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. The narrow upper level ridge south of Japan will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear during the next 12 hours. The wind shear will inhibit intensification during the next few hours. Tropical Storm Meari will move under the axis of the upper level ridge on Friday. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and the vertical wind shear will decrease on Friday. Tropical Storm Meari will be in an environment favorable for intensification while it is under the axis of the ridge.

Tropical Storm Meari will move around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Meari toward the north during the next 18 hours. Meari will move toward the northeast later on Friday after it moves around the western end of the high pressure system. On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Meari will approach the coast of Honshu near Tokyo in 36 hours. Meari could be a strong tropical storm when it nears Tokyo. Tropical Storm Meari will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to the region around Tokyo on Saturday.

Tropical Storm Meari Reorganizes West of Guam

The circulation designated as Tropical Storm Meari reorganized west of Guam on Thursday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Meari was located at latitude 15.0°N and longitude 139.0°E which put it about 415 miles (670 km) west of Guam.  Meari was moving toward the north-northeast at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 990 mb.

Tropical Storm Meari initially formed as a smaller counterclockwise circulation within a much broader cyclonic circulation that stretched from the Northern Mariana Islands toward the Philippines.  The initial surface center weakened on Thursday and a new center of circulation organized northeast of the original center.  A primary rainband began to wrap around the southern and east side of the low level center.  Numerous other bands of showers and thunderstorms were forming within the broader cyclonic circulation.  More bands of showers and thunderstorms were developing southwest of the new center and fewer bands were northeast of the center.  The new center of circulation is still consolidating and Tropical Storm Meari still does not have a well developed core.

Although Meari is still not well organized, the tropical storm is moving through an environment that is favorable for intensification.  Tropical Storm Meari is moving over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  An upper level ridge is located over Tropical Storm Meari and the upper level winds are weak.  So, there is little vertical wind shear.  Warm water and little shear should allow Tropical Storm Meari to continue to intensify.  The lack of a well formed inner core and the large broad cyclonic circulation will slow the rate of strengthening.

The reformation of the center of circulation farther toward the northeast caused the forecast track guidance from numerical models to shift to a more northeasterly track.  If the current center of Tropical Storm Meari persists, it is located near the western end of a subtropical ridge.  Meari is expected to move toward the northeast around the western end of the ridge.  When Meari moves farther north, westerly winds in the middle latitudes will accelerate the tropical storm toward the northeast.

Tropical Storm Meari Forms East of the Philippines

Tropical Storm Meari formed east of the Philippines on Wednesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Storm Meari was located at latitude 13.0°N and longitude 136.4°E which put it about 1045 miles (1685 km) east of Manila, Philippines.  Meari was moving toward the west at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.

A distinct center of circulation began to consolidate inside a broad area of low pressure located between Guam and the Philippines on Wednesday.  The center acquired enough characteristics of a tropical cyclone to be classified as Tropical Storm Meari by the Japan Meteorological Agency.  The low level center is still consolidating, but multiple spiral rainbands are forming.  More thunderstorms are forming south and west of the center and there are fewer storms north and east of center.

Tropical Storm Meari formed in an environment that is favorable for further intensification.  It is moving over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  Meari is organizing beneath an upper level ridge which is an area of weaker winds.  There is little vertical wind shear and the upper level ridge is providing some upper level divergence.  Meari is likely to strengthen slowly while the core of the circulation organizes, but it could intensify more quickly once a well formed center exists.  Tropical Storm Meari could eventually strengthen into a typhoon.

A subtropical ridge located north of Meari is slowly steering the tropical storm toward the west.  That general motion is expected to continue during the next few days.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Meari will move gradually closer to the Philippines.