A small area of low pressure east of the Leeward Islands displayed increased organization today and a reconnaissance plane found that it had winds to tropical storm force.\u00a0 Based on that information the National Hurricane Center classified the low as Tropical Storm Gonzalo.\u00a0 At 1:30 p.m. EDT the center of Gonzalo was located at latitude 16.4\u00b0N and longitude 58.4\u00b0W which put it about 200 miles east of Guadaloupe and about 230 miles east-southeast of Antigua.\u00a0 Gonzalo was moving toward the west at 10 m.p.h.\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. and the minimum surface pressure was 1009 mb.<\/p>\n
Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for Guadaloupe, Les Saintes, Maria Galante, St. Martin, St. Barthelemy, St. Maartin, Saba, St. Eustatius, Barbuda, Antigua, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat.\u00a0 Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, the U.S. Virgin Islands and the British Virgin Islands.<\/p>\n
Gonzalo is begin steered westward by a subtropical high pressure system located north of it.\u00a0 Gonzalo is likely to continue moving westward for another day or so until it nears the western end of the subtropical high.\u00a0 At that point it is likely to turn more toward the northwest and then eventually start moving northward.\u00a0 The numerical models are currently predicting that a large trough over the western U.S. will move eastward and turn Gonzalo toward the northeast as it moves north of Puerto Rico.<\/p>\n
Gonzalo is currently experiencing some shear from the west.\u00a0 However, it is over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29\u00b0C.\u00a0 So, intensification is likely.\u00a0 Gonzalo is a small tropical storm and small tropical cyclones can intensify or weaken more rapidly than larger storms. \u00a0 A period of rapid intensification is possible if the shear diminishes a little more.\u00a0\u00a0 Gonzalo could become a hurricane before it gets to Puerto Rico.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A small area of low pressure east of the Leeward Islands displayed increased organization today and a reconnaissance plane found that it had winds to tropical storm force.\u00a0 Based on that information the National Hurricane Center classified the low as Tropical Storm Gonzalo.\u00a0 At 1:30 p.m. EDT the center of Gonzalo was located at latitude […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=153"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":154,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153\/revisions\/154"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=153"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=153"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=153"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}