Tropical Cyclone Megh moved over Socotra Island, Yemen on Sunday and it passed near the northeast coast of Somalia.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Megh was located at latitude 12.3\u00b0N and longitude 50.6\u00b0E which put it about 375 miles (605 km) east of Aden (Adan), Yemen and about 35 miles (55 km) north of Cape Guardafui, Somalia.\u00a0 Megh was moving toward the west at 13 m.p.h. (21 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (170 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 957 mb.<\/p>\n
Although Tropical Cyclone Megh weakened as it moved across Socotra Island, it remains a small, well organized storm.\u00a0 Megh still has an eye surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms.\u00a0 Those storm are generating upper level divergence which is pumping out mass in all direction.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Megh is over warm water and the upper level winds are light.\u00a0 The only negative factors are the proximity to Somalia and drier air over the Arabian peninsula.\u00a0 As long as the center of Tropical Cyclone Megh stays north of Somalia, it will likely retain most of its intensity.\u00a0 When Megh starts to get closer to the coast of Yemen, it will begin to draw in some drier air and weaken more rapidly.\u00a0 Vertical wind shear could also increase in 24 to 36 hours, which would further speed the weakening process.<\/p>\n
A subtropical ridge has been steering Megh toward the west and that general motion is expected to continue for another day or so.\u00a0 After that time Megh will reach the western end of the ridge and start to move toward the northwest.\u00a0 On its expected track, Tropical Cyclone Megh could approach the coast of Yemen on Tuesday.\u00a0 It could still be the equivalent of a hurricane at that time.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Megh may have caused significant damage on Socotra Island.\u00a0 It will be capable of producing wind damage when it reaches Yemen, but heavy rain and flooding will be the greater risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tropical Cyclone Megh moved over Socotra Island, Yemen on Sunday and it passed near the northeast coast of Somalia.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Megh was located at latitude 12.3\u00b0N and longitude 50.6\u00b0E which put it about 375 miles (605 km) east of Aden (Adan), Yemen and about 35 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[263,57,261,264,54,260,256,262,255],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1898"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1898"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1898\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1899,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1898\/revisions\/1899"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1898"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1898"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1898"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}