A small center of circulation formed within a larger area of thunderstorms southwest of Mexico on Monday and the National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression 22E.\u00a0 At 4:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Depression 22E (TD22E) was located at latitude 10.8\u00b0N and longitude 102.9\u00b0W which put it about 465 miles (750 km) south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.\u00a0 TD22E was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (30 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km\/h) and there were gusts to 45 m.p.h. (70 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.<\/p>\n
TD22E is still in the early stages of an organizational process.\u00a0 The small center of circulation is located near the western end of a long band of thunderstorms.\u00a0 There are not many thunderstorms south and west of the center and there is not much evidence of spiral bands.\u00a0 A subtropical ridge northeast of TD22E is pushing the depression quickly toward the west and its rapid movement is retarding the organizational process.<\/p>\n
TD22E is currently in an environment that is marginal for intensification.\u00a0 It is over water where the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is near 30\u00b0C, which is very favorable for intensification.\u00a0 However, the ridge northeast of TD22E is causing strong easterly winds to blow over the top of the depression.\u00a0 The strong vertical wind shear and the rapid motion of the depression are negative factors for intensification.<\/p>\n
As TD22E moves farther west, the vertical wind shear is expected to decrease and the depression is expected to move more slowly.\u00a0 When that happens, TD22E will be able to more efficiently use the energy it is getting from the warm water and it will intensify.\u00a0 A period of rapid intensification may occur once the core of the circulation is better organized.\u00a0 TD22E could become a tropical storm on Tuesday and it could become a hurricane later this week.<\/p>\n
The subtropical ridge is steering TD22E quickly toward the west.\u00a0 In another 24 to 36 hours TD22E is likely to reach the western end of the ridge.\u00a0 At that time it will slow down and turn toward the north.\u00a0 TD22E will encounter southwesterly winds when it moves farther north.\u00a0 Those winds will push TD22E toward the northeast later this week.\u00a0 On its anticipated track TD22E could be near the southern tip of Baja California by the end of the week.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
A small center of circulation formed within a larger area of thunderstorms southwest of Mexico on Monday and the National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression 22E.\u00a0 At 4:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Depression 22E (TD22E) was located at latitude 10.8\u00b0N and longitude 102.9\u00b0W which put it about 465 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,2],"tags":[288,39,289,24,112,287],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1970"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1970"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1970\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1971,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1970\/revisions\/1971"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}