Light winds in the upper troposphere allowed the circulation around Tropical Cyclone Nilofar to pump out sufficient mass to enable it to intensify into the equivalent of a Major Hurricane.\u00a0 At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Nilofar was located at latitude 16.8\u00b0N and longitude 61.8\u00b0E which put it about 315 miles southeast of Masirah Island, about 650 miles south-southwest of Karachi, Pakistan and about 740 miles west of Mumbai, India.\u00a0 Nilofar was moving toward the north at 11 m.p.h.\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 135 m.p.h. and there were wind gusts estimated to be 160 m.p.h.<\/p>\n
The environment around Nilofar is capable of supporting an intense tropical cyclone, which is what Nilofar has become.\u00a0 The upper level winds are light, which has allowed upper level divergence to spread the air in all directions.\u00a0 In addition, the upper level outflow from Nilofar has interacted with surrounding weather systems to create outflow channels to the northeast and to the southwest.\u00a0 The favorable atmospheric environment combined with warm Sea Surface Temperatures, which are supplying plenty of energy to Nilofar, has produced a strong tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Nilofar could intensify further, although it is at the intensity where eyewall replacement cycles could begin to cause fluctuations in intensity.<\/p>\n
Nilofar is moving around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system which is steering it to the north.\u00a0 An upper level trough in the westerly flow north of Nilofar will eventually turn it toward the northeast.\u00a0 Nilofar could threaten parts of Pakistan and India by the end of the week.\u00a0 However, the southwesterly winds in the upper level trough will also generate more wind shear and Nilofar could start to weaken rapidly when it moves toward the coast of South Asia.<\/p>\n
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Light winds in the upper troposphere allowed the circulation around Tropical Cyclone Nilofar to pump out sufficient mass to enable it to intensify into the equivalent of a Major Hurricane.\u00a0 At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Nilofar was located at latitude 16.8\u00b0N and longitude 61.8\u00b0E which put it about 315 miles southeast […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[57,56,55],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=205"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":208,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/205\/revisions\/208"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}