{"id":21953,"date":"2025-02-05T23:26:03","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T23:26:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=21953"},"modified":"2025-02-05T23:26:03","modified_gmt":"2025-02-05T23:26:03","slug":"tropical-cyclone-vince-churns-southeast-of-diego-garcia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=21953","title":{"rendered":"Tropical Cyclone Vince Churns Southeast of Diego Garcia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tropical Cyclone Vince churned over the South Indian Ocean far to the southeast of Diego Garcia on Wednesday.\u00a0 At 4:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Vince was located at latitude 18.9\u00b0S and longitude 83.5\u00b0E which put the center about 945 miles (1525 km) southeast of Diego Garcia.\u00a0 Vince was moving toward the west at 9 m.p.h. (15 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 951 mb.<\/p>\n<p>Tropical Cyclone Vince completed an eyewall replacement cycle on Wednesday.\u00a0 Vince began to intensify again after it completed the eyewall replacement cycle.\u00a0 A new circular eye was present at the center of Vince&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.\u00a0 Even though Tropical Cyclone Vince was the equivalent of a major hurricane, the distribution of thunderstorms was asymmetrical.\u00a0 Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern and western parts of Vince&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 Bands in the eastern and southern parts of Tropical Cyclone Vince consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.\u00a0 Storms near the center of Vince generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.<\/p>\n<p>The size of the circulation around Tropical Cyclone Vince increased as a result of the eyewall replacement cycle.\u00a0 Winds to hurricane\/typhoon force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Vince&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Vince.<\/p>\n<p>The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Vince is 23.6.\u00a0 The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 14.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 38.0.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Vince is similar in intensity to Hurricane Dennis when Dennis hit Northwest Florida in 2005.\u00a0 Vince is larger than Dennis was.<\/p>\n<p>Tropical Cyclone Vince will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 Vince will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28\u00b0C.\u00a0 It will move under the northern part of an upper level ridge over the South Indian Ocean.\u00a0 The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Vince\u2019s circulation.\u00a0 Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear.\u00a0 The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Vince is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours, unless another eyewall replacement cycle occurs.<\/p>\n<p>Tropical Cyclone Vince will move around the northern side of a high pressure system over the South Indian Ocean.\u00a0 The high pressure system will steer Vince toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Vince will pass far to the south of Diego Garcia later this week.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere, Tropical Cyclone Taliah weakened gradually as it spun east-southeast of the Cocos Islands. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Taliah was located at latitude 14.8\u00b0S and longitude 105.5\u00b0E which put the center about 635 miles (1025 km) east-southeast of the Cocos Islands.\u00a0 Taliah was moving toward the west at 8 m.p.h. (13 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 984 mb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tropical Cyclone Vince churned over the South Indian Ocean far to the southeast of Diego Garcia on Wednesday.\u00a0 At 4:00 p.m. EST on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Vince was located at latitude 18.9\u00b0S and longitude 83.5\u00b0E which put the center about 945 miles (1525 km) southeast of Diego Garcia.\u00a0 Vince was moving toward [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[81,48,2],"tags":[647,973,67,352,650,648,974,3843,3842,3844,3845],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21953"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=21953"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21953\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21954,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21953\/revisions\/21954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=21953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=21953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=21953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}