{"id":24670,"date":"2026-07-09T03:15:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T03:15:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=24670"},"modified":"2026-07-09T03:15:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T03:15:50","slug":"typhoon-bavi-moves-toward-southern-ryukyu-islands","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=24670","title":{"rendered":"Typhoon Bavi Moves Toward Southern Ryukyu Islands"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Typhoon Bavi continued to move toward the southern Ryukyu Islands and Taiwan on Wednesday.\u00a0 At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Bavi was located at latitude 18.6\u00b0N and longitude 129.6\u00b0E which put the center about 605 miles (975 km) southeast of Ishigakijima, Japan.\u00a0 Bavi was moving toward the northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 944 mb.<\/p>\n<p>The cumulative effects of multiple eyewall replacement cycles caused Typhoon Bavi to weaken on Wednesday.\u00a0 The most recent inner eyewall weakened and a much larger eye with a diameter of 70 miles (110 km) formed at the center of Bavi&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 The large eye was surrounded by a broken ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.\u00a0 Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the center of Typhoon Bavi.\u00a0 Storms near the center of Bavi generated less upper level divergence that pumped less mass away from the typhoon.\u00a0 The removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.\u00a0 So, the surface pressure increased again on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>The effects of the multiple eyewall replacement cycles also created a very large circulation around typhoon Bavi.\u00a0 Winds to typhoon force extended out 160 miles (260 km) from the center of Bavi\u2019s circulation.\u00a0 Winds to tropical storm force extended out 335 miles (540 km) from the center of Typhoon Bavi.<\/p>\n<p>The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Bavi is 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 54.9 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 78.5.\u00a0 Typhoon Bavi is similar in intensity to Hurricane Katrina when Katrina hit Mississippi in 2005.\u00a0 Typhoon Bavi is much larger than Katrina was.<\/p>\n<p>Typhoon Bavi will move through an environment that will be somewhat unfavorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 Bavi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29\u00b0C.\u00a0 It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.\u00a0 However, Typhoon Bavi will move into a region of drier air that is east of Taiwan.\u00a0 The drier air will inhibit the formation of new thunderstorms in the northwestern part of Bavi&#8217;s circulaiton.\u00a0 Typhoon Bavi is likely to weaken slowly during the next 24 hours because of the drier air and the lingering effects of the eyewall replacement cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Typhoon Bavi will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.\u00a0 The high pressure system will steer Bavi toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 On its anticipated track, Typhoon Bavi will approach the southern Ryukyu Islands in 36 hours.\u00a0 The center of Bavi will be near northeastern Taiwan in 48 hours.<\/p>\n<p>Typhoon Bavi will bring strong winds and heavy rain to the southern Ryukyu Islands and to Taiwan.\u00a0 Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.\u00a0 Typhoon Bavi could cause a storms surge of up to 12 feet (3.6 meters) along the coast of the southern Ryukyu Islands and northern Taiwan.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Typhoon Bavi continued to move toward the southern Ryukyu Islands and Taiwan on Wednesday.\u00a0 At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Bavi was located at latitude 18.6\u00b0N and longitude 129.6\u00b0E which put the center about 605 miles (975 km) southeast of Ishigakijima, Japan.\u00a0 Bavi was moving toward the northwest at 13 m.p.h. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[459,2165,650,1581,44,194,42,2168,460],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24670"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24670"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24670\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24671,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24670\/revisions\/24671"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}