{"id":25575,"date":"2026-10-17T22:07:52","date_gmt":"2026-10-17T22:07:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=25575"},"modified":"2026-10-17T22:07:52","modified_gmt":"2026-10-17T22:07:52","slug":"hurricane-trudy-moves-closer-to-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=25575","title":{"rendered":"Hurricane Trudy Moves Closer to Mexico"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hurricane Trudy moved closer to the west coast of Mexico on Saturday.\u00a0 At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Trudy was located at latitude 17.5\u00b0N and longitude 105.0\u00b0W which put the center about 115 miles (185 km) south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.\u00a0 Trudy was moving toward the northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the portion of the coast from Manzanillo to Punta San Telmo, Mexico.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Manzanillo to Lazaro Cardenas, Mexico.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Cabo Corrientes to San Blas, Mexico.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Las Islas Marias.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hurricane Trudy appeared to go through an eyewall replacement cycle during the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Trudy101726.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-25576\" src=\"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Trudy101726-300x290.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"290\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Trudy101726-300x290.png 300w, https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Trudy101726.png 543w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A circular eye with a diameter of 45 miles (75 km) was at the center of Trudy&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.\u00a0 Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Trudy\u2019s circulation.\u00a0 Storms near the core of Trudy generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the hurricane.\u00a0 The removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.\u00a0 So the surface pressure increased on Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>The distribution of wind speeds in Hurricane Trudy was fairly symmetrical.\u00a0 Winds to hurricane force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Trudy&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (225 km) from the center of Hurricane Trudy.<\/p>\n<p>The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Trudy is 16.5.\u00a0 The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 12.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 29.1.\u00a0 Hurricane Trudy is similar in intensity to Hurricane Idalia when Idalia hit Florida in 2023.\u00a0 Trudy is larger than Isaias was.<\/p>\n<p>Hurricane Trudy will move through an environment that will be somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 Trudy will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30\u00b0C.\u00a0 It will move under the southeastern part of an upper level trough that is near Baja California.\u00a0 The upper level trough will produce westerly winds that will blow toward the top of Trudy&#8217;s circulation.\u00a0 Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase.\u00a0 Hurricane Trudy could intensify on Sunday if the vertical wind shear does not increase too much.<\/p>\n<p>Hurricane Trudy will move around the western side of a high pressure system that is over Mexico.\u00a0 The high pressure system will steer Trudy toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 On its anticipated track, the center of Hurricane Trudy will approach the west coast of Mexico between Manzanillo and Cabo Corrientes.<\/p>\n<p>The center of Hurricane Trudy is forecast to remain west of Mexico.\u00a0 However, bands in the eastern side of Trudy&#8217;s circulation will bring strong winds and heavy rain to the west coast of Mexico between Manzanillo and Cabo Corrientes.\u00a0 Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hurricane Trudy moved closer to the west coast of Mexico on Saturday.\u00a0 At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Trudy was located at latitude 17.5\u00b0N and longitude 105.0\u00b0W which put the center about 115 miles (185 km) south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.\u00a0 Trudy was moving toward the northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km\/h).\u00a0 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,2],"tags":[283,1039,282,4262,650,3105,4265,1027,24,2521,1724,4261],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25575"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=25575"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25575\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25577,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25575\/revisions\/25577"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=25575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=25575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=25575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}