The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two tropical disturbances which are designated Invest 96L and Invest 97L for possible development into tropical cyclones.<\/p>\n
At 8:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Invest 97L was located at latitude 13.4\u00b0N and longitude 37.0\u00b0W which put it about 1525 miles (2460 km) east-southeast of the Leeward Islands.\u00a0 Invest 97L was moving toward the west at 21 m.p.h. (34 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 25 m.p.h. (40 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 35 m.p.h. (55 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1011 mb.<\/p>\n
At 8:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Invest 96L was located at latitude 11.2\u00b0N and longitude 20.9\u00b0W which put it about 320 miles (515 km) south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands.\u00a0 Invest 96L was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1010 mb.<\/p>\n
Invest 97L consists of a fast moving tropical wave over the central Atlantic Ocean.\u00a0 The circulation of Invest 97L is not well organized.\u00a0 A few thunderstorms are occurring near the northern part of the axis of the tropical wave, but convection is scattered.\u00a0 The rapid forward motion of the wave is preventing the thunderstorms from consolidating around a center of circulation.<\/p>\n
If the forward speed of Invest 97L slows, then it may move into an environment that is more favorable for the development of a tropical cyclone.\u00a0 It is over water where the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is near 27\u00b0C and it will move over warmer water as it gets closer to the Caribbean Sea.\u00a0 There is not much vertical wind shear except for the low level shear created by the rapid forward motion of the wave.\u00a0 There is drier air to the north of Invest 97L, but it is embedded in the moister air closer to the Equator.\u00a0 NHC has a 30% probability that Invest 97L will develop into a tropical cyclone during the next five days.\u00a0 As a result, NHC has tentatively tasked a plane to fly reconnaissance into Invest 97L on Saturday if it shows signs of developing as it approaches the Caribbean Sea.<\/p>\n
Invest 96L also consists of a tropical wave, but it is more well organized than Invest 97L\u00a0 There are numerous thunderstorms west of the center of circulation and some rainbands are developing south of the center of circulation.\u00a0 The thunderstorms west of the center are starting to generate some upper level divergence to the west of Invest 96L.\u00a0 There are some indications that a low level center of circulation may be forming.<\/p>\n
Invest 96L is currently in an environment that is mostly favorable for further development.\u00a0 It is moving over water where the SSTs are near 28\u00b0C.\u00a0 An upper level ridge north of Invest 96L is causing easterly winds to blow over the top of it.\u00a0 The vertical wind shear is moderate and shear is the primary factor slowing the organization of the Invest 96L.\u00a0 NHC has a 40% probability that Invest 96L will develop into a tropical cyclone during the next five days.<\/p>\n
Because it is more well organized and it is moving more slowly, Invest 96L has a better chance for developing into a tropical cyclone during the next two days.\u00a0 However, Invest 96L could move into a less favorable environment after that time.\u00a0 Invest 97L will be moving into a more favorable environment during the weekend.\u00a0 If Invest 97L holds together until its forward speed slows, then it could have a better chance of developing in several days.\u00a0 If Invest 97L becomes a tropical cyclone it could threaten portions of the Caribbean Sea.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring two tropical disturbances which are designated Invest 96L and Invest 97L for possible development into tropical cyclones. At 8:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Invest 97L was located at latitude 13.4\u00b0N and longitude 37.0\u00b0W which put it about 1525 miles (2460 km) east-southeast of the Leeward […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,2],"tags":[437,438,439,440,19,436],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2677"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2677"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2677\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2678,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2677\/revisions\/2678"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}