{"id":303,"date":"2015-01-14T03:21:20","date_gmt":"2015-01-14T03:21:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=303"},"modified":"2015-01-14T03:21:20","modified_gmt":"2015-01-14T03:21:20","slug":"eyewall-replacement-cycle-weakens-tropical-cyclone-bansi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=303","title":{"rendered":"Eyewall Replacement Cycle Weakens Tropical Cyclone Bansi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At 7:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Bansi was located at latitude 17.4\u00b0S and longitude 58.2\u00b0E which put it about 200 miles north-northeast of Port Louis, Mauritius.\u00a0 Bansi was moving toward the east-southeast at 3 m.p.h.\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 130 m.p.h. and it was estimated there could be wind gusts to 160 m.p.h.\u00a0 The estimated minimum surface pressure was 944 mb.<\/p>\n<p>An outer rain band wrapped completely around the existing eyewall of Tropical Cyclone Bansi to create concentric eyewalls.\u00a0 As the low level convergence became concentrated on the outer eyewall, the inner eyewall began to weaken.\u00a0 This resulted in a reduction of the maximum sustained wind speed and a rise in the minimum surface pressure.\u00a0 Satellite imagery indicates that most of the inner eyewall has dissipated, but some of it still remains.\u00a0 The strongest winds are now occurring in the outer eyewall.\u00a0 The eyewall replacement cycle also resulted in a larger circulation.\u00a0 Bansi is still over warm Sea Surface Temperatures and the upper level winds are relatively weak.\u00a0 So, some reintensification is possible during the next 24 hours, but it is always challenging to predict intensity changes after an eyewall replacement cycle.\u00a0 As Bansi moves to higher latitudes, the Sea Surface Temperature will decrease and wind shear will increase.\u00a0 So, Bansi is expected to weaken later this week.<\/p>\n<p>Bansi remains in an area of weak steering winds.\u00a0 As a result, it is moving slowly toward the east-southeast.\u00a0 A subtropical ridge is expected to strengthen in about 24 hours and begin to steer Bansi southeastward at an increasing speed.\u00a0 The projected track is expected to keep the core of Bansi northeast of Mauritius.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At 7:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Bansi was located at latitude 17.4\u00b0S and longitude 58.2\u00b0E which put it about 200 miles north-northeast of Port Louis, Mauritius.\u00a0 Bansi was moving toward the east-southeast at 3 m.p.h.\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 130 m.p.h. and it was estimated there could be [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[75,74],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/303"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=303"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/303\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":304,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/303\/revisions\/304"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}