Tropical Cyclone Carlos weakened on Monday as it passed northwest of Mauritius.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Carlos was located at latitude 19.3\u00b0S and longitude 56.0\u00b0E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) northwest of Port Louis, Mauritius.\u00a0 Carlos was moving toward the southwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.<\/p>\n
An upper level ridge centered northeast of Carlos generated northerly winds which created moderate vertical wind shear over the top of the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 The upper level winds sheared the tops off many of the thunderstorms and created an asymmetrical distribution of the convection.\u00a0 The strongest thunderstorms are currently in a short spiral band located southwest of the center of circulation.\u00a0 Although there is a well defined low level circulation, the bands in other parts of Tropical Cyclone Carlos contain mostly showers and low clouds.\u00a0 The thunderstorms in the short spiral band are generating some upper level divergence which is pumping out mass to the south of the tropical cyclone.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Carlos is moving through an environment that is currently unfavorable for intensification.\u00a0 However, the environment could become more favorable during the next day or two.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Carlos will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28\u00b0C.\u00a0 The strength of the upper level winds could diminish during the next 24 to 48 hours.\u00a0 If the vertical wind shear decreases, Tropical Cyclone Carlos could intensify before it moves over colder water later this week.\u00a0 There is still a chance that Tropical Cyclone Carlos could reach hurricane intensity during the next day or two.<\/p>\n
A subtropical ridge northeast of Carlos is steering the tropical cyclone toward the southwest.\u00a0 That general motion is expected to continue for another 24 to 36 hours.\u00a0 When Carlos reaches the southwestern end of the ridge, it is forecast to turn gradually toward the the southeast.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Cyclone Carlos is expected to pass northwest of Mauritius and La Reunion.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Carlos brought locally heavy rain to parts of Mauritius.\u00a0 Carlos could also bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to parts of La Reunion.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tropical Cyclone Carlos weakened on Monday as it passed northwest of Mauritius.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Carlos was located at latitude 19.3\u00b0S and longitude 56.0\u00b0E which put it about 100 miles (160 km) northwest of Port Louis, Mauritius.\u00a0 Carlos was moving toward the southwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[619,84,85,74,620,618],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3625"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3625"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3625\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3626,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3625\/revisions\/3626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}