The core of Tropical Cyclone Carlos passed west of La Reunion on Tuesday.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Carlos was located at latitude 21.4\u00b0S and longitude 53.2\u00b0E which put it about 130 miles (210 km) west-southwest of St. Denis, La Reunion.\u00a0 Carlos was moving toward the southwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.<\/p>\n
Limited thunderstorm formation and moderate vertical wind shear caused the low level circulation to weaken slightly on Tuesday.\u00a0 A few more thunderstorms appeared to develop south of the center of circulation during the past few hours.\u00a0 Additional thunderstorms seemed to be forming in spiral bands outside the core of the circulation.\u00a0 The thunderstorms forming south of the core were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from center of circulation,\u00a0 So, after appearing less organized earlier in the day, the circulation of Tropical Cyclone Carlos seemed to be showing signs of greater organization in recent hours.<\/p>\n
An upper level ridge east of Carlos is generating northeasterly winds that are blowing toward the top of the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Those winds are producing moderate vertical wind shear, which is inhibiting intensification.\u00a0 However, Tropical Cyclone Carlos is moving over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28\u00b0C.\u00a0 So, there is plenty of energy in the upper ocean to support strengthening.\u00a0 The upper level winds could diminish during the next 24 hours.\u00a0 If the vertical wind shear decreases, then Tropical Cyclone Carlos could intensify during the next 24 to 36 hours.<\/p>\n
Carlos is moving around the western end of a subtropical ridge which is steering the tropical cyclone toward the southwest.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Carlos is expected to reach the western end of the ridge in 24 to 36 hours and then it will start to move toward the southeast.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the core of Tropical Cyclone Carlos will move between La Reunion and Madagascar.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Carlos is expected to pass south of La Reunion after it starts to move toward the southeast.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Carlos brought locally heavy rain to portions of Mauritius and La Reunion.\u00a0 Outer rainbands could bring some additional rain to parts of La Reunion during the next day or two.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The core of Tropical Cyclone Carlos passed west of La Reunion on Tuesday.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Carlos was located at latitude 21.4\u00b0S and longitude 53.2\u00b0E which put it about 130 miles (210 km) west-southwest of St. Denis, La Reunion.\u00a0 Carlos was moving toward the southwest at 7 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[619,84,85,74,620,618],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3629"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3629"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3629\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3630,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3629\/revisions\/3630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3629"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3629"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3629"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}