An area of low pressure developed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday afternoon and the system was designated Invest 90L.\u00a0 At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Invest 90L was located at latitude 12.0\u00b0N and longitude 80.7\u00b0W which put it about 200 miles (320 km) east of Bluefields, Nicaragua.\u00a0 It was moving toward the west-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.<\/p>\n
The circulation of Invest 90L was still organizing on Tuesday afternoon.\u00a0 The area of low pressure appeared to have a distinct center of circulation.\u00a0 Several bands of showers and thunderstorms were forming south and east of the center of circulation.\u00a0 There were fewer showers and thunderstorms northwest of the center.\u00a0 There was some upper level divergence that was pumping mass away to the south and west of the center.<\/p>\n
Invest 90L will be moving through an environment favorable for intensification.\u00a0 The Sea Surface Temperature in the southwest Caribbean Sea is near 30\u00b0C and the warm water is fairly deep.\u00a0 The energy content of the water in that area is high.\u00a0 An upper level ridge centered over the western Gulf of Mexico is producing northeasterly which are blowing toward the northwestern side of Invest 90L.\u00a0 Those winds are producing some vertical wind shear, but the shear is not likely to be strong enough to prevent the formation of a tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Invest 90L is likely to become a tropical depression or storm during the next 24 to 48 hours.\u00a0 If the center remains east of Nicaragua, rapid intensification could occur after the circulation consolidates around the low level center.<\/p>\n
Invest 90L is moving slowly toward the west-northwest as it moves near the southern side of a mid-level ridge.\u00a0 That ridge could steer Invest 90L close to the coast of Nicaragua during the next several days.\u00a0 The mid-level ridge is forecast to move east to near the Bahamas during the next 24 to 48 hours.\u00a0 After that time, southerly winds are forecast to steer Invest 90L toward the north.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the center of Invest 90L could move very close to Nicaragua during the next day or two.\u00a0 It could bring locally heavy rain to Nicaragua and Honduras.\u00a0 Invest 90L could move into the Gulf of Mexico in a few days.\u00a0 The intensity of Invest 90L when it reaches the Gulf will depend on how much it interacts with Nicaragua and the Yucatan peninsula.\u00a0 If the center stays over water, then it could be a hurricane when it reaches the Gulf of Mexico.\u00a0 If the center spends more time over land, then the system will be weaker when it reaches the Gulf.\u00a0 Some models are forecasting that a hurricane could make landfall on the northern Gulf Coast during the weekend.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
An area of low pressure developed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday afternoon and the system was designated Invest 90L.\u00a0 At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Invest 90L was located at latitude 12.0\u00b0N and longitude 80.7\u00b0W which put it about 200 miles (320 km) east of Bluefields, Nicaragua.\u00a0 It was moving […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,2],"tags":[312,572,384,58,138,145,51,449,574,113,24,493,571,112,53],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4920"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4920"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4921,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4920\/revisions\/4921"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}