The organization of a small area of low pressure (also known as Invest 95S) south of Java increased early on Monday and the Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi Dan Geofisika (BMKG) Tropical Cyclone Warning Center in Jakarta designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Cempaka.\u00a0 At 7:00 a.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Cempaka was located at latitude 8.8\u00b0S and longitude 110.8\u00b0E which put it about 70 miles (115 km) south-southeast of Yokyakarta, Indonesia.\u00a0 Cempaka was moving toward the east- northeast at 5 m.p.h. (8 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Cempaka has a small but well developed center of circulation.\u00a0 Radar images from BKMG showed an eyelike feature at the center of circulation.\u00a0 The strongest winds are occurring in a ring of showers and thunderstorms that surrounds the center.\u00a0 The stronger storms are in the eastern half of the ring.\u00a0 Other narrow rainbands are developing outside the core of Cempaka.\u00a0 Thunderstorms around the center are generating some upper level divergence which is pumping mass away from the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Winds to tropical storm force extend out about 40 miles (65 km) from the center of circulation.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Cempaka will be in an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 to 48 hours.\u00a0 Cempaka will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29\u00b0C.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Cempaka is under an upper level ridge and the upper level winds are weak.\u00a0 There is little vertical wind shear over the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 The core of Tropical Cyclone Cempaka is near Java.\u00a0 Part of the circulation is flowing over Java and nearby islands and friction from those islands is slowing the winds.\u00a0 Interaction with land is the primary factor inhibiting intensification.\u00a0 If the center of Tropical Cyclone Cempaka remains south of Java, then it has a chance to intensify.\u00a0 If Cempaka moves closer to Java, then it could weaken.\u00a0 Also, since Cempaka is a very small tropical cyclone, an increase in the speed of the upper level winds could blow the top off of the circulation.<\/p>\n
Since Tropical Cyclone Cempaka is underneath an upper level ridge, the steering winds are weak.\u00a0 Cempaka is south of the center of the ridge and weak westerly winds are steering the tropical cyclone slowly toward the east-northeast.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone Cempaka is forecast to meander south of Java for several more days because of the weak stearing winds.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone Cempaka is producing locally heavy rain over parts of Java, Bali and nearby islands.\u00a0 The locally heavy rain could cause flash floods as Cempaka meanders south of Java during the next day or two.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The organization of a small area of low pressure (also known as Invest 95S) south of Java increased early on Monday and the Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi Dan Geofisika (BMKG) Tropical Cyclone Warning Center in Jakarta designated the system as Tropical Cyclone Cempaka.\u00a0 At 7:00 a.m. EST on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone Cempaka was […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[81,48,2],"tags":[891,78,894,70,890,893,892,895],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5204"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5204"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5204\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5205,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5204\/revisions\/5205"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}