Tropical Cyclone 03S formed east of Madagascar on Tuesday.\u00a0 At 4:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone 03S was centered at latitude 15.5\u00b0S and longitude 53.2\u00b0E which put it about 330 miles (530 km) east-northeast of Toamasina, Madagascar.\u00a0 It was moving a little south of due west at 9 m.p.h. (15 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 996 mb.<\/p>\n
A well defined center of circulation developed within a cluster of thunderstorms passing north of La Reunion on Tuesday.\u00a0 A primary rainband wrapped around the center of circulation and the system exhibited the characteristics of a tropical cyclone.\u00a0 The innermost end of the primary\u00a0 rainband wrapped tightly around the eastern side of the center of circulation, while the rest of the band coiled around the northern and western parts of the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Additional bands of showers and thunderstorms were forming outside the core of the system.\u00a0 Thunderstorms near the center of circulation were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the tropical cyclone.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone 03S will be moving through an environment favorable for intensification.\u00a0 It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28.5\u00b0C.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone 03S is in a region where the upper level winds are weak and there is not much vertical wind shear.\u00a0 Warm water and little shear will allow Tropical Cyclone 03S to intensify and it could intensify rapidly.\u00a0 The system is likely to strengthen into the equivalent of a hurricane\/typhoon within 36 hours.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone 03S is moving along the northwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge.\u00a0 The ridge is currently steering the system toward the west.\u00a0 However, Tropical Cyclone 03S is likely to move more toward the southwest when it reaches the western end of the ridge.\u00a0 On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone 03S could approach the east coast of Madagascar in 24 to 36 hours.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone 03S is likely to intensify into the equivalent of a hurricane\/typhoon before it reaches Madagascar.\u00a0 It will bring strong gusty winds to eastern Madagascar.\u00a0 The outer rainbands on the western side of Tropical Cyclone 03S are already dropping heavy rain on parts of eastern Madagascar.\u00a0 Continued heavy could create dangerous floods in some locations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tropical Cyclone 03S formed east of Madagascar on Tuesday.\u00a0 At 4:00 p.m. EST on Tuesday the center of Tropical Cyclone 03S was centered at latitude 15.5\u00b0S and longitude 53.2\u00b0E which put it about 330 miles (530 km) east-northeast of Toamasina, Madagascar.\u00a0 It was moving a little south of due west at 9 m.p.h. (15 km\/h).\u00a0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[614,84,85,615,612,613],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5369"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5369"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5369\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5370,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5369\/revisions\/5370"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5369"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5369"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5369"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}