Tropical Cyclone 13P developed over the Coral Sea northwest of New Caledonia on Monday.\u00a0 At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone 13P was located at latitude 17.2\u00b0S and longitude 159.7\u00b0E which put it about 550 miles (885 km) northwest of Noumea, New Caledonia.\u00a0 It was moving toward the south at 11 m.p.h. (17 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.<\/p>\n
A distinct low level center of circulation developed within an area of showers and thunderstorms over the Coral Sea on Monday.\u00a0 The strongest rainband extended from northeast of the center, south of the the center and then west of the center.\u00a0 Additional rainbands were forming in other part of the circulation.\u00a0 Storms near the center of circulation were beginning to generate upper level divergence which was pumping mass away to the south of the tropical cyclone.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone 13P will move through an environment favorable for intensification on Tuesday.\u00a0 It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29\u00b0C.\u00a0 An upper level trough near the east coast of Australia is producing northerly winds which are blowing toward the top of the circulation.\u00a0 The core of Tropical Cyclone 13P is east of the strongest upper level winds, but the winds are causing moderate vertical wind shear.\u00a0 Despite the vertical shear, the tropical cyclone is forecast to intensify during the next 24 hours.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone 13P is moving around the western end of a subtropical ridge which is steering it toward the south.\u00a0 There is some variability in the guidance from the numerical models about the future strength of the ridge.\u00a0 Some models do not strengthen the ridge much and those model predict that Tropical Cyclone 13P will move almost straight southward.\u00a0 Other models increase the strength of the ridge and steer the tropical cyclone more toward the south-southwest.\u00a0 A general motion toward the south or south-southwest seems most likely during the next 24 to 36 hours.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the core of Tropical Cyclone 13P would pass west of New Caledonia, but it could move closer to the east coast of Australia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tropical Cyclone 13P developed over the Coral Sea northwest of New Caledonia on Monday.\u00a0 At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone 13P was located at latitude 17.2\u00b0S and longitude 159.7\u00b0E which put it about 550 miles (885 km) northwest of Noumea, New Caledonia.\u00a0 It was moving toward the south at 11 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[81,76,2],"tags":[78,971,88,970,92,82,648,969,90],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5627"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5627"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5627\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5628,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5627\/revisions\/5628"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}