Tropical Cyclone 02A formed over the Arabian Sea on Monday.\u00a0 At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone 02A was located at latitude 9.3\u00b0N and longitude 57.1\u00b0E which put it about 285 miles (460 km) southeast of Socotra Island.\u00a0 It was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.<\/p>\n
A center of circulation began to consolidate within a broader area of low pressure over the Arabian Sea on Monday.\u00a0 Thunderstorms formed west and north of the developing center.\u00a0 There were fewer thunderstorms in the eastern half of the circulation.\u00a0 Storms west of the center began to organize into several bands and the circulation began to exhibit the characteristics of a tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Thunderstorms near the core of the circulation began to generate upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the developing tropical cyclone.\u00a0 Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 110 miles (175 km) from the center of circulation.<\/p>\n
Tropical Cyclone 02A will move through an area favorable for intensification during the next several days.\u00a0 It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30\u00b0C.\u00a0 An upper level ridge is east of the tropical cyclone.\u00a0 The ridge is producing southerly winds which are blowing toward of the top of the circulation.\u00a0 Those winds will generate some vertical wind shear, but the shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification.\u00a0 The circulation of Tropical Cyclone 02A will continue to organize on Tuesday.\u00a0 It will strengthen and it could become the equivalent of a hurricane\/typhoon by the middle of the week.<\/p>\n
The ridge to the east of Tropical Cyclone 02A is steering the cyclone toward the northwest.\u00a0 A general motion toward the north-northwest is expected during the next two or three days.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Cyclone 02A will pass west of Socotra Island.\u00a0 It could bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to that location.\u00a0 Tropical Cyclone 02A could approach western Oman and eastern Yemen in three or four days.\u00a0 It could be the equivalent of a hurricane\/typhoon at that time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Tropical Cyclone 02A formed over the Arabian Sea on Monday.\u00a0 At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Cyclone 02A was located at latitude 9.3\u00b0N and longitude 57.1\u00b0E which put it about 285 miles (460 km) southeast of Socotra Island.\u00a0 It was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,2],"tags":[1009,57,689,54,260,1010,256,1008,255],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5873"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5873"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5873\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5876,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5873\/revisions\/5876"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}