The center of Tropical Cyclone Nathan moved across the northeastern portion of Arnhem Land and it has emerged over the Arafura Sea.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Nathan was located at latitude 11.6\u00b0S and longitude 134.7\u00b0E which put it about 45 miles northeast of Maningrida, about 35 miles north-northwest of Milingimbi and about 280 miles east-northeast of Darwin, Australia.\u00a0 Nathan was moving toward the west at 5 m.p.h.\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. and there were gusts to 95 m.p.h.\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 974 mb.<\/p>\n
The core of the circulation was relatively intact when the center of Nathan moved back over water and it had an apparent eye on some satellite imagery and radar displays.\u00a0 The surface temperatures are quite warm in the Arafura Sea and thunderstorms continue to develop around the southern and western sides of the circulation.\u00a0 Less convection is occurring on the eastern side of Nathan.\u00a0 It is possible the moving across land and proximity to the coast is allowing some drier air to be entrained into the circulation.\u00a0 Light westerly winds in the upper levels may also be creating some vertical wind shear.\u00a0 The intact core and warm water could allow Nathan to intensify somewhat on Monday.<\/p>\n
Nathan is being steered toward the west by a subtropical ridge located to its south.\u00a0 The ridge is expected to continue to steer Nathan in a general westerly direction for another 24 hours.\u00a0 The projected track would keep the center of circulation over water.\u00a0 The ridge is expected to weaken a bit in a day or so, which could allow Nathan turn southwestward and make another landfall on the north coast of Australia.\u00a0 The southwesterly turn could produce a landfall between Maningrida and Croker Island.<\/p>\n
Nathan has a relatively small circulation but it is strong enough to cause wind damage and a significant storm surge near where the center makes landfall.\u00a0 It could also produce locally heavy rainfall and flooding in inland areas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The center of Tropical Cyclone Nathan moved across the northeastern portion of Arnhem Land and it has emerged over the Arafura Sea.\u00a0 At 10:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Nathan was located at latitude 11.6\u00b0S and longitude 134.7\u00b0E which put it about 45 miles northeast of Maningrida, about 35 miles north-northwest […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[81,2],"tags":[83],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/595"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=595"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/595\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":596,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/595\/revisions\/596"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}