{"id":6790,"date":"2018-10-05T20:32:18","date_gmt":"2018-10-05T20:32:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=6790"},"modified":"2018-10-05T20:32:18","modified_gmt":"2018-10-05T20:32:18","slug":"possible-tropical-development-near-yucatan-peninsula","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/?p=6790","title":{"rendered":"Possible Tropical Development Near Yucatan Peninsula"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A tropical cyclone could develop near the Yucatan peninsula during the next few days.\u00a0 At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Invest 91L was located at latitude 16.0\u00b0N and longitude 84.3\u00b0W which put it about 400 miles (640 km) southeast of Cancun, Mexico.\u00a0 It was moving toward the northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1007 mb.<\/p>\n<p>A broad area of low pressure is over the western Caribbean Sea, Central America and the adjacent waters of the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.\u00a0 Several smaller, mesoscale centers of rotation appear to be revolving around the larger low pressure system.\u00a0 One of the mesoscale centers is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean just west of the coast of Central America.\u00a0 One or two other mesoscale centers appear to be over the western Caribbean Sea near Honduras.\u00a0 The low level circulation is not currently well organized.\u00a0 It is broad and diffuse.\u00a0 Thunderstorms are clustered around the mesoscale centers, but large scale rainbands have not formed.<\/p>\n<p>Westerly winds in the upper levels are are blowing over the top of the system.\u00a0 Those winds are creating moderate vertical wind shear which is inhibiting the development of the low pressure system.\u00a0 The upper level winds are forecast to weaken during the next few days and the wind shear will diminish.\u00a0 The Sea Surface Temperature of the water in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico is near 30\u00b0C.\u00a0 The broad low pressure system could slowly organize during the next two to three days.\u00a0 The National Hurricane Center is indicating that there is a 70% probability of formation of a tropical cyclone near the Yucatan peninsula or over the southern Gulf of Mexico during the next five days.\u00a0 A reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the low pressure system on Sunday, if necessary.<\/p>\n<p>The broad low is southwest of a subtropical high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean.\u00a0 The high is expected to steer the low toward the northwest during the weekend.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the low will move over the northwestern Caribbean Sea during the next several days.\u00a0 it could move into the Gulf of Mexico on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Tropical Storm Leslie continued to meander northeast of Bermuda.\u00a0 At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located at latitude 36.2\u00b0N and longitude 58.4\u00b0W which put it about 455 miles (730 km) northeast of Bermuda.\u00a0 Leslie was moving toward the north-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km\/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 986 mb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A tropical cyclone could develop near the Yucatan peninsula during the next few days.\u00a0 At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Invest 91L was located at latitude 16.0\u00b0N and longitude 84.3\u00b0W which put it about 400 miles (640 km) southeast of Cancun, Mexico.\u00a0 It was moving toward the northwest at 6 m.p.h. (10 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,2],"tags":[528,375,527,660,384,1303,145,51,38,449,374,1299,113,24,493,1301,1302],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6790"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6790"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6790\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6791,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6790\/revisions\/6791"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6790"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6790"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6790"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}