The National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two on Wednesday morning.\u00a0 NHC initiated the advisories in order to be able to issue watches for a portion of the coast of Louisiana.\u00a0 At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was located at latitude 28.5\u00b0N and longitude 86.4\u00b0W which put it about 170 miles (270 km) east-southeast of the Mouth of the Mississippi River.\u00a0 It was moving toward the west-southwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km\/h).\u00a0 The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km\/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km\/h).\u00a0 The minimum surface pressure was 1011 mb.\u00a0 A Tropical Storm Watch was issued for the portion of the coast from the Mouth of the Mississippi River to Morgan City, Louisiana.<\/p>\n
The circulation around Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was not well organized.\u00a0 There was a large, but relatively weak circulation near the surface.\u00a0 There was not a well defined center of circulation near the surface.\u00a0 There was a stronger counterclockwise circulation between about 10,000 feet (3000 meters) and 25,000 feet (7600 meters) above the surface, which was located above the southwestern part of the surface circulation.\u00a0 Many of the stronger thunderstorms were occurring in bands on the northern and western sides of the circulation above the surface.\u00a0 There were fewer thunderstorms in the eastern side of the larger, surface circulation.<\/p>\n
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two will move through an environment very favorable for development and intensification.\u00a0 It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30\u00b0C.\u00a0 The system will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.\u00a0 It is likely that a center of circulation will form at the surface underneath the counterclockwise circulation above the surface.\u00a0 Potential Tropical Cyclone Two will strengthen slowly until the surface center is underneath the center higher in the atmosphere.\u00a0 After the circulation becomes aligned vertically, the system could strengthen more rapidly.\u00a0 Potential Tropical Cyclone Two is likely to become a hurricane within 48 to 60 hours.<\/p>\n
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two will move south of a ridge over the southeastern U.S.\u00a0 The ridge will steer Potential Tropical Cyclone Two toward the southwest.\u00a0 It will move more toward the west on Thursday and then turn back more toward the northwest on Friday when it nears the western end of the ridge.\u00a0 There will be significant uncertainty about the future track of the system until a well defined center of circulation forms at the surface.\u00a0 On its anticipated track the center of Tropical Cyclone Two could approach the coast of Louisiana and northeast Texas on Friday.\u00a0 Hurricane Watches and Warnings are likely to be issued for portions of the coast later this week.<\/p>\n
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two presents a wide range of hazards.\u00a0 It will bring hurricane force winds to portions of Louisiana and Texas and it will disrupt operations of offshore facilities in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.\u00a0 After the center of the system moves west of New Orleans, southerly winds will force water into the Mouth of the Mississippi River.\u00a0 The level of the Mississippi River around New Orleans is already near flood stage and any additional rise in the water level could cause serious flooding around the city.\u00a0 If Potential Tropical Cyclone Two strengthens into a hurricane, as expected, it will cause a significant storm near where the center makes landfall.\u00a0 The system also has the potential to drop heavy rain and flooding could occur when it moves inland.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) initiated advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two on Wednesday morning.\u00a0 NHC initiated the advisories in order to be able to issue watches for a portion of the coast of Louisiana.\u00a0 At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two was located at latitude 28.5\u00b0N and longitude […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,2],"tags":[378,377,384,51,38,791,717,493,716,1539,1540,112],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7890"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7890"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7890\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7891,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7890\/revisions\/7891"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7890"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7890"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jayhobgood.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7890"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}