Tropical Depression Eleven-E formed west of Mexico on Friday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located at latitude 17.7°N and longitude 109.2°W which put it about 335 miles (535 km) west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  The depression was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1009 mb.

The circulation of Tropical Depression Eleven-E is not particularly well organized.  The depression does have a distinct center of circulation which can be seen on visible satellite images.  Most of the showers and thunderstorms are occurring in the western half of the circulation.  The rainbands east of the center of circulation are thin and consist mainly of lighter showers.  The thunderstorms west of the center of circulation are generating only a little upper level divergence which is carrying mass to the west of the depression.

Tropical Depression Eleven-E is in an environment that is only marginally favorable for intensification.  The depression is moving over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 28.5°C.  So, there is sufficient energy in the upper ocean to support intensification.  However, an upper level ridge centered over northern Mexico is producing strong northeasterly winds which are blowing across the top of the depression.  Those winds are causing significant vertical wind shear.  The shear is probably the reason for the asymmetrical pattern with all of the thunderstorms in the western half of the circulation.  The shear is forecast to continue and if it does, there will be little or no intensification.  If the shear is less, then some intensification could occur.

Tropical Depression Eleven-E is being steered to the west-northwest by the ridge to its north.  A general west-northwesterly motion is forecast to continue for the next several days.  If the vertical wind shear increases and the depression weakens to a low level system, then winds closer to the surface would steer it more toward the west.  On its anticipated track the depression is expected to move away from Mexico.