Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy Churns over Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy was churning over the Arabian Sea on Wednesday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy was located at latitude 13.9°N and longitude 66.2°E which put it about 670 miles (1085 km) southeast of Masirah Island. Biparjoy was moving toward the north-northwest at 4 m.p.h. (6 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 976 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy churned slowly northward over the Arabian Sea on Wednesday night. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the southern and eastern sides of the center of Biparjoy’s circulation. Other bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of circulation. Storms near the center generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out25 miles (40 km) from the center of Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 115 miles (185 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Biparjoy will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 31˚C. It will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over the Arabian Sea. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy is likely to intensify during the next 24 hours. Biparjoy could strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane.

Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy will move around the northwestern side of a high pressure system over India during the next 24 hours. The high pressure system will steer Biparjoy slowly toward the north. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Biparjoy will remain over the Arabian Sea during the next few days.