Tropical Cyclone Ruby Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of a Hurricane/Typhoon

Tropical Cyclone Ruby rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon on Sunday afternoon. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Ruby was located at latitude 16.8°S and longitude 159.3°E which put it about 415 miles (670 km) northwest of Poum, New Caledonia. Ruby was moving toward the southeast at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 980 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Ruby rapidly intensified on Sunday. A small eye formed at the center of Ruby. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Tropical Cyclone Ruby’s circulation. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the southeast of the tropical cyclone. Ruby was a small tropical cyclone. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Ruby’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 75 miles (120 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Ruby will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Ruby will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge over the South Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce northwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Ruby’s circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the wind shear will be too small to prevent intensification. Tropical Cyclone Ruby will intensify and it could continue to intensify rapidly. Ruby could strengthen to the equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.

Tropical Cyclone Ruby will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the South Pacific Ocean during the next 36 hours. The high pressure system will steer Ruby toward the southeast. On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Ruby could approach the northwestern part of New Caledonia in 24 hours. Ruby will be the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon when it reaches New Caledonia. Tropical Cyclone Ruby will bring strong winds and heavy rain to much of New Caledonia. Locally heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods. Strong winds and locally heavy rain could cause widespread electrical outages. Winds blowing water toward the east coast of New Caledonia could cause storm surges.