Tropical Cyclone Kevin strengthened to the equivalent of a hurricane/typhoon over the Coral Sea west of Vanuatu on Thursday. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Kevin was located at latitude 16.7°S and longitude 166.1°E which put it about 195 miles (310 km) west-northwest of Port Vila, Vanuatu. Kevin was moving toward the southeast at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 978 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Kevin strengthened west of Vanuatu on Thursday. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the center of Kevin’s circulation. A circular eye with a diameter of 25 miles (40 km) formed at the center of circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Tropical Cyclone Kevin. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical cyclone. Winds to hurricane/typhoon force extended out 70 miles (110 km) in the the northern side of Kevin’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 190 miles (305 km) from the center of circulation.

Tropical Cyclone Kevin will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Kevin will move over over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30˚C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the eastern Coral Sea. The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Cyclone Kevin will intensify the next 24 hours. Kevin could strengthen to the equivalent of a major hurricane.

An upper level trough east of Australia will steer Tropical Cyclone Kevin toward the southeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Cyclone Kevin will pass west of Espiritu Santo and Malekula during the next few hours. Kevin will bring gusty winds and locally heavy rain to Espiritu Santo and Malekula. Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations. The center of Tropical Cyclone Kevin will pass near Port Vila, Vanuatu in 12 hours. Kevin will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Port Vila and Efate. Port Vila and Efate were just hit by Tropical Cyclone Judy. Tropical Cyclone Kevin will hinder efforts to recover from Tropical Cyclone Judy. Tropical Cyclone Kevin will bring wind and rain to Erromango, Tanna and Aneityum on Friday.

Elsewhere over the South Pacific Ocean, Tropical Cyclone Judy was passing south-southwest of Fiji. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Thursday the center of Tropical Cyclone Judy was located at latitude 25.4°S and longitude 177.3°E which put it about 495 miles (795 km) south-southwest of Suva, Fiji. Judy was moving toward the east-southeast at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 969 mb.