The proximity of Tropical Storm Philippe prompted the issuance of a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbuda. A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for Antigua. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was located at latitude 17.1°N and longitude 60.7°W which put it about 80 miles (130 km) east-southeast of Barbuda. Philippe was moving toward the west-northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for Barbuda. A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for Antigua.

The center of Tropical Storm Philippe moved closer to Barbuda on Monday morning. The circulation around Philippe did not change much since Sunday night. An upper level ridge over the eastern Caribbean Sea continued to produce northwesterly winds that blew toward the top of Philippe’s circulation. Those winds caused strong vertical wind shear . The vertical wind shear caused the distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Philippe to be asymmetrical. Most of the thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southeastern part of Philippe’s circulation. Bands near the center of Tropical Storm Philippe and in the other parts of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds. The distribution of wind speeds was also asymmetrical. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 170 miles (275 km) in the eastern side of Philippe’s circulation. The winds in the western side of Tropical Storm Philippe were blowing at less than tropical storm force.

Tropical Storm Philippe will move through a region that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Philippe will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. However, the upper level ridge over the eastern Caribbean Sea will continue to cause strong vertical wind shear. The wind shear is likely to prevent intensification of Tropical Storm Philippe during the next 12 hours. Philippe could move into a region where the upper level winds are weaker on Tuesday. If the vertical wind shear decreases, then Tropical Storm Philippe could start to intensify.

Tropical Storm Philippe will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Philippe toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center Tropical Storm Philippe will pass near Barbuda during Monday night. The strongest winds in Philippe’s circulation are likely to pass east of Barbuda. Winds to tropical storm force could affect Barbuda, if the center moves close enough to the island. The winds in Barbuda and Antigua will blow from the south after Tropical Storm Philippe moves north of the islands. A band of heavier rain could pass over Barbuda and Antigua on Tuesday. Heavier rain could cause flash floods in some locations.