Typhoon Maysak Nearing Luzon

Typhoon Maysak maintained its heading toward Luzon on Friday and it is about 24 hours away from making landfall.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Maysak was located at latitude 14.6°N and longitude 127.2°E which put it about 200 miles east-northeast of Catanduanes Island and about east-southeast of Luzon.  Maysak was moving toward the west at 15 m.p.h.  The maximum sustained wind speed was 95 m.p.h. and there were gusts to 115 m.p.h.  The minimum surface pressure was 963 mb.

An upper level trough that was causing vertical wind shear over Maysak moved eastward on Friday and the wind shear over the typhoon decreased.  Infrared satellite imagery indicates that more convection developed near the core of Maysak and the upper level divergence has increased in recent hours.  The additional convection appears to have slowed the weakening of the circulation.  Maysak will remain over warm Sea Surface Temperatures as it approaches Luzon and so it will likely still be a typhoon when it makes landfall there.  If new thunderstorms continue to develop near the center of circulation, then some intensification may be possible before landfall.

A subtropical ridge is steering Maysak toward the west-northwest and that motion is expected to continue.  On the projected track Maysak would make landfall in Luzon in 24 to 36 hours.  It has the potential to bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of Luzon.  The locally heavy rain will also create the conditions that could produce mudslides in some areas.