Tropical Storm Pali intensified steadily on Monday and it has become a rare January hurricane over the Central Pacific Ocean.  At 10:00 p.m. EST on Monday the center of Hurricane Pali was located at latitude 8.1°N and longitude 171.9°W which put it about 1305 miles (2100 km) southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii.  Pali was moving toward the east-southeast at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

The structure of Hurricane Pali improved significantly on Monday.  A primary rainband wrapped all of the way around the center of circulation and became a well formed eyewall.  The eye has been clearly visible on satellite images from the past few hours.  Thunderstorms around the eye are generating upper level divergence in all directions which is pumping out mass.

Hurricane Pali is in an environment favorable for intensification.  An upper level ridge is generating light westerly winds over the top of Pali, but the vertical wind shear is modest.  Hurricane Pali is moving over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are near 28°C.  Wind shear will be the primary factor that will determine intensify changes during the next 24 to 48 hours.  If the wind shear remains minimal, then Hurricane Pali will intensify further.  If the wind shear increases to the magnitude that existed during the weekend, then Pali will weaken.  The most likely scenario is for Pali to intensify during the next 12 to 24 hours, then maintain a steady state or slowly weaken during the middle of the week.  Rapid intensification could continue during the next few hours.

Hurricane Pali remains in an area where the steering currents are weak.  It could meander slowly toward the southeast or east for another day or two.  After that time a subtropical ridge could strengthen and start to steer Pali more toward the west.