Hurricane Sam Peaks Just Shy of Cat. 5

Hurricane Sam peaked just shy of Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Sunday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Hurricane Sam was located at latitude 14.7°N and longitude 50.8°W which put it about 850 miles (1365 km) east-southeast of the Northern Leeward Islands. Sam moving toward the northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 170 m.p.h. (280 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 943 mb.

The National Hurricane Center indicated that the maximum sustained wind speed in Hurricane Sam may have peaked at 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h) on Sunday afternoon before an Eyewall Replacement Cycle halted intensification. The inner end of a rainband wrapped around the existing small eye and eyewall at the center of Hurricane Sam. There were two concentric eyewalls for a period of time and then the inner eyewall began to dissipate. Low level convergence became primarily concentrated on the outer eyewall. The outer eyewall had a diameter of 16 miles (26 km). The western side of the outer eyewall was weaker and the rainbands on the western side of Hurricane Sam were also weaker.

The size of the circulation around Hurricane Sam only increased slightly as a result of the Eyewall Replaement Cycle. Winds to hurricane force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Sam. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) was 29.9. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 9.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 39.7.

Hurricane Sam will move through an environment capable of sustaining a major hurricane during the next 48 hours. Sam will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. The current Eyewall Replacement Cycle will cause Hurricane Sam to weaken until the outer eyewall becomes full developed. Additional Eyewall Replacement Cycles could occur which would cause fluctuations in the intensity of Hurricane Sam.

Hurricane Sam will move around the southern side of a subtropical high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean. The high will steer Sam toward the northwest during the next 48 hours. On its anticipated track Hurricane Sam could be east of the Northern Leeward Islands by Wednesday.