Typhoon Malakas strengthened to the equivalent of a major hurricane southwest of Iwo To on Tuesday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Malakas was located at latitude 17.7°N and longitude 136.6°E which put it about 605 miles (980 km) southwest of Two To. Malakas was moving toward the northeast at 9 m.p.h (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 953 mb.
Typhoon Malakas strengthened quickly to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Western North Pacific Ocean southwest of Iwo To on Tuesday night. A circular eye with a diameter of 25 miles (40 km) was at the center of Malakas’ circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core to Typhoon Malakas. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.
The size of the circulation around Typhoon Malakas increased on Tuesday. Winds to typhoon force extended out 75 miles (120 km) from the center of Malakas. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 240 miles (390 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Malakas was 22.1. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 25.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 47.7.
Typhoon Malakas will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 12 hours. Malakas will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27˚C. It will move under the western part of an upper level ridge over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Malakas’ circulation. The winds at lower levels in the atmosphere will also blow from the south and there will not be much vertical wind shear. Typhoon Malakas could continue to intensify during the next 12 hours. An upper level trough west of Japan will move toward Malakas on Wednesday. When the upper level trough gets closer to Malakas, it will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of the typhoon’s circulation. Those winds will cause the vertical wind shear to increase. When the shear increases later on Wednesday Typhoon Malakas could start to weaken.
The upper level trough west of Japan will start to steer Typhoon Malakas toward the northeast at a faster speed later on Wednesday. On its anticipated track Malakas could approach Iwo To in 36 hours. Typhoon Malakas will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to Iwo To and the Ogasawara Islands.