Typhoon Koinu Moves Toward Hong Kong

Typhoon Koinu moved toward Hong Kong on Thursday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Koinu was located at latitude 21.5°N and longitude 117.4°E which put it about 225 miles (365 km) east of Hong Kong. Koinu was moving toward the west at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 967 mb.

Typhoon Koinu moved over the South China Sea toward Hong Kong on Thursday. Koinu was weaker and smaller after passing over southern Taiwan on Wednesday. The circulation around Typhoon Koinu started to exhibit more organization again on Thursday evening. A circular eye with a diameter of 18 miles (30 km) was at the center of Koinu’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Koinu. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.

Wins to typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Typhoon Koinu. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 285 miles (460 km) in the northeast quadrant of Koinu’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 130 miles (210 km) in the other parts of Typhoon Koinu.

Typhoon Koinu will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Koinu will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge over China. The ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Koinu’s circulation. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification but the shear may not be strong enough to prevent intensification. The circulation around the northern side of Typhoon Koinu could start to draw in some drier air from China. Typhoon Koinu could intensify during the next 24 hours if the drier air does not reach the inner core of the circulation.

Typhoon Koinu will move will move around the southern part of a high pressure system over eastern Asia and the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Koinu toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track the center Typhoon Koinu will move closer to Hong Kong on Friday.