Tropical Storm Bailu formed over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan on Saturday. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Bailu was located at latitude 33.9°N and longitude 142.6°E which put the center about 185 miles (295 km) south of Tokyo, Japan. Bailu was moving toward the north-northeast at 29 m.p.h. (46 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.
A low pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean strengthened on Saturday and the Japan Meteorological Agency designated the system as Tropical Storm Bailu.
The distribution of thunderstorms in Tropical Storm Bailu was asymmetrical. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the northern part of Bailu’s circulation. Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the southwestern part of Tropical Storm Bailu. Bands in the other parts of Bailu’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.
The distribution of wind speeds in Tropical Storm Bailu was also asymmetrical. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) in the southern half of Bailu’s circulation. The winds in the northern side of Tropical Storm Bailu were blowing at less than tropical storm force.
Tropical Storm Bailu will move through an environment marginally favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Bailu will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C. It will move under the eastern side of an upper level trough that is north of Japan. The upper level trough will produce southwesterly winds that will blow toward the top of Bailu’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification. Tropical Storm Bailu could intensify during the next 24 hours, if the vertical wind shear does not increase.
The upper level trough north of Japan will steer Tropical Storm Bailu quickly toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Bailu will move quickly away from Honshu on Sunday.
Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Krosa was moving rapidly away from Japan. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Krosa was located at latitude 40.2°N and longitude 152.2°E which put the center about 505 miles (820 km) east of Misawa, Japan. Krosa was moving toward the east-northeast at 28 m.p.h. (45 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 977 mb.
