Monthly Archives: September 2025

Tropical Storm Octave Forms South of Baja California

Tropical Storm Octave formed over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean far to the south of Baja California on Tuesday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Octave was located at latitude 9.9°N and longitude 113.5°W which put the center about 930 miles (1495 km) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Octave was moving toward the northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1004 mb.

A low pressure system over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean far to the south of Baja California strengthened on Tuesday morning and the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Octave.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Octave was organizing gradually on Tuesday.  Thunderstorms developed near the center of Octave’s circulation.  Thunderstorms were also occurring in bands in the western side of Tropical Storm Octave.  Bands in the eastern half of Octave’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Octave began to generate upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Octave was small.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Octave’s circulation.

Tropical Storm Octave will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Octave will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C.  It will move under the southern side of an upper level ridge that is over the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level ridge will produce northeasterly winds that will blow toward the top of Octave’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear may not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Octave could intensify gradually during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Octave will move around the western end of a high pressure system over Mexico.  The high pressure system will steer Octave toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Octave will remain far to the south of Baja California.

Imelda Intensifies to a Hurricane

Former Tropical Storm Imelda intensified to a hurricane over the Atlantic Ocean east of Florida on Tuesday morning.  At 8:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Imelda was located at latitude 29.0°N and longitude 76.9°W which put the center about 755 miles (1255 km) west-southwest of Bermuda.  Imelda was moving toward the northeast at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 980 mb.

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Bermuda.

A U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane found that former Tropical Storm Imelda had intensified to a hurricane on Tuesday morning.

The circulation around Hurricane Imelda became more symmetrical on Tuesday morning.  Thunderstorms near the center of Imelda’s circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the north and east of the hurricane.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Imelda.

Winds to hurricane force extended out 70 miles (110 km) from the center of Hurricane Imelda.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of Imelda’s circulation.

Hurricane Storm Imelda will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Imelda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the eastern side of an upper level trough that is over the southeast U.S.  The upper level trough will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Imelda’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The moderate vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Hurricane Imelda will intensify during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough over the southeast U.S. will steer Hurricane Imelda toward the east-northeast during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Hurricane Imelda will affect Bermuda on Wednesday night.

Hurricane Imelda will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Bermuda.  The strong winds could cause electricity outages.  Heavy rain could cause flooding.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Humberto was weakening west of Bermuda.  At 5:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Humberto was located at latitude 31.6°N and longitude 69.4°W which put the center about 275 miles (440 km) west of Bermuda.  Humberto was moving toward the north-northwest at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 972 mb.

Tropical Storm Imelda Strengthens

Tropical Storm Imelda strengthened on Monday morning as it moved north of the Bahamas.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Imelda was located at latitude 26.9°N and longitude 77.1°W which put the center about 35 miles (55 km) north of Great Abaco Island, Bahamas.  Imelda was moving toward the north at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 988 mb.

Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the Northwestern Bahamas including Eleuthera, the Abacos, and Grand Bahama Island.

Tropical Storm Imelda strengthened on Monday morning.  More thunderstorms developed near the center of Imelda’s circulation. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Imelda.  Storms near the center of Imelda generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds were occurring in the northeastern part of Tropical Storm Imelda.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) in the eastern side of Imelda’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the western side of Tropical Storm Imelda.

Tropical Storm Imelda will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Imelda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the eastern side of an upper level trough that is over the Southeast U.S.  The upper level trough will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Imelda”s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Imelda will intensify during the next 24 hours.  Imelda could intensify rapidly at times.  Tropical Storm Imelda will intensify to a hurricane by Tuesday.

The upper level trough west of Florida will steer Tropical Storm Imelda toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Imelda will remain east of South Florida.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Humberto was completing an eyewall replacement cycle.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Hurricane Humberto was located at latitude 28.0°N and longitude 67.6°W which put the center about 340 miles (550 km) south-southwest of Bermuda.  Humberto was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 175 m.p.h. (280 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 940 mb.

A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for Bermuda.

 

Depression Strengthens to Tropical Storm Imelda

Former Tropical Depression Nine strengthened to Tropical Storm Imelda over the Bahamas on Sunday afternoon.  At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Imelda was located at latitude 23.9°N and longitude 77.3°W which put the center about 105 miles (165 km) south of Nassau, Bahamas.   Imelda was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 998 mb.

Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the Central Bahamas including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador.

Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the Northwestern Bahamas including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, the Berry Islands, Andros Island, and Grand Bahama Island.

A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for the portion of the coast from the Palm Beach/Martin County Line to the Flagler/Volusia County Line, Florida.

A U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter reconnaissance plane found on Sunday afternoon that former Tropical Depression Nine had strengthened.  Based on data collected by the reconnaissance plane, the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Imelda.

More thunderstorms were forming near the center of Tropical Storm Imelda on Sunday afternoon.  However, the distribution of thunderstorms in Imelda was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring mainly in bands in the eastern side of Imelda’s circulation.  Bands in the western side of Tropical Storm Imelda consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

Winds to tropical storm force extended out 30 miles (50 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Imelda.

Tropical Storm Imelda will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Imelda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.   It will move under the eastern side of an upper level trough that is west of Florida.  The upper level trough will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Imelda”s circulation.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Tropical Storm Imelda will intensify during the next 24 hours.

The upper level trough west of Florida will steer Tropical Storm Imelda toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Imelda will move across the Central and Northwestern Bahamas.

Tropical Storm Imelda will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to the Central and Northwestern Bahamas.  Heavy rain could cause flash floods in some locations.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, powerful Hurricane Humberto was passing south of Bermuda.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Hurricane Humberto was located at latitude 24.6°N and longitude 64.3°W which put the center about 535 miles (855 km) south of Bermuda.  Humberto was moving toward the west-northwest at 13 m.p.h. (21 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 180 m.p.h. (290 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 934 mb.

Typhoon Bualoi Brings Wind and Rain to Vietnam

Typhoon Bualoi brought wind and rain to northern Vietnam on Sunday.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Bualoi was located at latitude 18.0°N and longitude 106.5°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) southeast of Ky Anh, Vietnam.  Bualoi was moving toward the northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 977 mb.

The center of Typhoon Bualoi made landfall on the coast of Vietnam southeast of Ky Anh on Sunday.  An eye formed that the center of Bualoi’s circulation just before it made landfall.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Typhoon Bualoi.

The strongest winds were occurring in the parts of Typhoon Bualoi that were still over the South China Sea.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 45 miles (75 km) in the northern side of Bualoi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 145 miles (235 km) from the center of Typhoon Bualoi.

Typhoon Bualoi will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over China.  The high pressure system will steer Bualoi toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Bualoi will move inland over northern Vietnam.  Bualoi will weaken steadily as it moves farther inland.

Typhoon Bualoi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of northern Vietnam.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.  Bualoi could cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coast.  Bualoi could also drop heavy rain over parts of northern Laos on Monday.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Typhoon Neoguri  was racing toward the northeast.  At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Neoguri was located at latitude 38.9°N and longitude 168.6°E which put the center about 1320 miles (2120 km) north of Wake Island.  Neoguri was moving toward the northeast at 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 953 mb.

Narda Weakens to a Tropical Storm

Former Hurricane Narda weakened to a tropical storm as it moved over cooler water west of Baja California on Saturday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Storm Narda was located at latitude 18.7°N and longitude 125.9°W which put the center about 1070 miles (1725 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.  Narda was moving toward the north-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

Former Hurricane Narda weakened to a tropical storm as it moved over cooler water west of Baja California.  Many of the thunderstorms in Narda’s circulation weakened when it moved over the cooler water.  There were still some thunderstorms occurring near the center of Tropical Storm Narda.  However, those storms generated much less upper level divergence.  As a result, the inflow of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere was greater than the outflow of mass in the upper levels.  The greater inflow of mass caused the surface pressure to increase.

Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Tropical Storm Narda.

Tropical Storm Narda will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Narda will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 24°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Narda will weaken during the next 24 hours as it moves over colder Sea Surface Temperatures.

Tropical Storm Narda will move around the western side of a high pressure system that is over Mexico and the Eastern North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Narda toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Tropical Storm Narda will remain far to the west of Baja California.

 

Typhoon Bualoi Approaches Northern Vietnam

Typhoon Bualoi was approaching the coast of northern Vietnam on Saturday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Bualoi was located at latitude 16.7°N and longitude 108.8°E which put the center about 80 miles (130 km) east-northeast of Da Nang Vietnam.  Bualoi was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

Typhoon Bualoi was maintaining its intensity as it approached the coast of northern Vietnam on Saturday evening.  Thunderstorms continued to form near the center of Bualoi’s circulation.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Typhoon Bualoi.  Storms near the center of Bualoi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the south and west of the typhoon.   The removal of mass in the upper levels were balanced by the inflow of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  The balance of outflow and inflow caused the surface pressure to remain nearly constant.

The strongest winds were occurring in the northern side of Typhoon Bualoi.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) in the northern side of Bualoi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 160 miles (260 km) from the center of Typhoon Bualoi.

Typhoon Bualoi will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next few hours.  Bualoi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge over China.  The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Bualoi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the moderate shear may not be enough to prevent intensification. Typhoon Bualoi could intensify before it reaches the coast of northern Vietnam.

Typhoon Bualoi will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over China.  The high pressure system will steer Bualoi toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Bualoi will make landfall on the coast of northern Vietnam in a few hours.  The center of Bualoi Is likely to make landfall between Hue and Vinh.

Typhoon Bualoi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of northern Vietnam.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.  Bualoi could cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coast.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Typhoon Neoguri intensified far to the west of Japan.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Neoguri was located at latitude 35.2°N and longitude 163.6°E which put the center about 1065 miles (1720 km) north-northwest of Wake, Island.  Neoguri was moving toward the northeast at 22 m.p.h. (35 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 110 m.p.h. (175 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 130 m.p.h. (210 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 957 mb.

Hurricane Humberto Intensifies to Cat. 5

Hurricane Humberto intensified to Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale south of Bermuda on Saturday afternoon.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Hurricane Humberto was located at latitude 22.9°N and longitude 61.1°W which put the center about 685 miles (1105 km) south-southeast of Bermuda.  Humberto was moving toward the west-northwest at 10 m.p.h. (16 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 160 m.p.h. (260 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 190 m.p.h. (305 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 925 mb.

Hurricane Humberto intensified to Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Saturday afternoon.  A circular eye with a diameter of 12 miles (19 km) was at the center of Humberto’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the center of Hurricane Humberto.  Storms near the center of Humberto generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large quantities of mass away from the hurricane.  The removal of large quantities of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease rapidly.

The circulation around Hurricane Humberto was very symmetrical.  Winds to hurricane force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Humberto’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 125 miles (200 km) from the center of Hurricane Humberto.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Humberto is 35.0.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 10.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 45.7.  Hurricane Humberto is similar in intensity to Hurricane Michael when Michael hit Northwest Florida in 2018.  Humberto is slightly smaller than Michael was.

Hurricane Humberto will move through an environment favorable for an intense hurricane during the next 24 hours.  Humberto will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and the will be little vertical wind shear.  Hurricane Humberto could intensify during the next 24 hours.  However, the inner end of a rainband is likely to wrap around the existing eye and eyewall.  The formation of concentric eyewalls would start an eyewall replacement cycle.  An eyewall replacement cycle would cause Humberto to weaken, at least temporarily.

Hurricane Humberto will move around the western part of a high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Humberto toward the northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Hurricane Humberto will pass far to the south of Bermuda on Sunday.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Tropical Depression Nine formed north of eastern Cuba.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located at latitude 22.2°N and longitude 76.5°W which put the center about 215 miles (345 km) south-southeast of Nassau,, Bahamas.  The tropical depression was moving toward the northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the Central Bahamas including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador.

Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the Northwestern Bahamas including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, the Berry Islands, Andros Island, and Grand Bahama Island.

A Tropical Storm Watch was in effect for the portion of the coast from the Palm Beach/Martin County Line to the Flagler/Volusia County Line, Florida.

Bualoi Strengthens to Typhoon over South China Sea

Former Tropical Storm Bualoi strengthened to a typhoon as it moved over the South China Sea on Friday evening.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Bualoi was located at latitude 15.1°N and longitude 114.2°E which put the center about 400 miles (645 km) east of Da Nang Vietnam.  Bualoi was moving toward the west-northwest at 28 m.p.h. (45 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 982 mb.

Former Tropical Storm Bualoi strengthened to a typhoon on Friday evening.  Even though Bualoi strengthened to a typhoon, the distribution of thunderstorms was asymmetrical.  Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the eastern and southern parts of Typhoon Bualoi.  Bands in the western and northern parts of Bualoi consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of Bualoi generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away to the south and west of the typhoon.  The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Bualoi was relatively small.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 35 miles (55 km) from the center of Bualoi’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 105 miles (165 km) from the center of Typhoon Bualoi.

Typhoon Bualoi will move through an environment somewhat favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Bualoi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the southern part of an upper level ridge over China.  The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Bualoi’s circulation.  Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear.  The vertical wind shear will inhibit intensification, but the moderate shear may not be enough to prevent intensification.  Typhoon Bualoi could intensify during the next 24 hours.

Typhoon Bualoi will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over China.  The high pressure system will steer Bualoi toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Typhoon Bualoi will move toward the coast of northern Vietnam.  Bualoi could reach the coast in 36 hours.

Typhoon Bualoi will bring strong winds and locally heavy rain to parts of northern Vietnam.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some location.  Bualoi could cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along portions of the coast.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Neoguri was still meandering far to the east of Japan.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Tropical Storm Neoguri was located at latitude 31.8°N and longitude 156.3°E which put the center about 925 miles (1490 km) east of Tokyo, Japan.  Neoguri was moving toward the east at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 981 mb.

Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings Issued for Bahamas

Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings were issued for parts of the Bahamas on Friday afternoon because of a storm developing near the western end of Cuba.  The U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the developing storm as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.

At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine was located at latitude 20.9°N and longitude 74.6°W which put the center about 55 miles (90 km) north-northwest of the eastern end of Cuba.  Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the Central Bahamas including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island, Rum Cay, and San Salvador.

Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for the Northwestern Bahamas including Eleuthera, New Providence, the Abacos, the Berry Islands and Grand Bahama Island.

A surface low pressure system started to form on Friday afternoon in the northern end of a tropical wave near the eastern tip of Cuba.  The circulation around the low pressure system was still in the early stages of organization.  More thunderstorms started to develop near the center of the low pressure system.  Other thunderstorms started to form into bands that will begin to revolve around the center of circulation.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will move through an environment that will be favorable for the formation of a tropical storm during the next 24 hours.  It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the western side of an upper level ridge that is east of the Bahamas.  The upper level ridge will produce southerly winds that will blow toward the top of Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine.  Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the wind shear will not be enough to prevent intensification.  Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is likely to develop into a tropical storm on Saturday.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will move around the western side of a high pressure system that is east of the Bahamas.  The high pressure system will steer Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine toward the north during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will move across the Central Bahamas on Saturday night.  It will move across the Northwestern Bahamas on Sunday.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will bring strengthening winds and locally heavy rain to the Central Bahamas and to the Northwestern Bahamas.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Humberto rapidly intensified to a major hurricane northeast of the Leeward Islands and former Hurricane Gabrielle sped east of the Azores.

At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Hurricane Humberto was located at latitude 22.3°N and longitude 58.1°W which put the center about 430 miles (690 km) northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands.  Humberto was moving toward the west-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 135 m.p.h. (215 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 962 mb.

At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of former Hurricane Gabrielle was located at latitude 40.0°N and longitude 22.8°W which put the center about 245 miles (395 km) east-northeast of Lajes Air Base, the Azores.  Gabrielle was moving toward the east-northeast at 31 m.p.h. (50 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 992 mb.