Tag Archives: Minami Daito Jima

Typhoon Saudel Approaches Ryukyu Islands

Typhoon Saudel was approaching the Ryukyu Islands on Monday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Saudel was located at latitude 26.3°N and longitude 130.6°E which put the center about 205 miles (335 km) east of Okinawa.  Saudel was moving toward the west-northwest at 14 m.p.h. (22 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (165 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 961 mb.

Typhoon Saudel was weakening slowly as it approached the Ryukyu Islands on Monday night.  The eye was no longer visible at the center of Saudel’s circulation.  Typhoon Saudel appeared to be pulling some drier air into the western side of its circulation.  Some of the thunderstorms in the bands in the western half of Typhoon Saudel were weaker because of the drier.  Storms near the center of Saudel still generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  However, the removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure increased on Monday.

The circulation around Typhoon Saudel was still large.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 90 miles (145 km) from the center of Saudel’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 190 miles (305 km) from the center of Typhoon Saudel.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Saudel is 17.8.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 26.4 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 44.2. Typhoon Saudel is similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Gustav when Gustav hit Louisiana in 2008.

Typhoon Saudel will move through an environment that will be unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Saudel will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  However, Saudel will continue to move into a mass of drier air that is east of China.  Typhoon Saudel is likely to continue to weaken gradually during the next 24 hours because of the effects of the drier air.

Typhoon Saudel will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Saudel toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Saudel will pass between Okinawa and Amami in 12 hours.

Typhoon Saudel is already producing strong winds and heavy rain in Minami Daito Jima.

Typhoon Saudel will also bring strong winds and heavy rain to the Ryukyu Islands including Okinawa and Amami.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods in some locations.

 

Typhoon Dolphin Continues Toward Okinawa

Typhoon Dolphin continued to move toward Okinawa on Wednesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 26.3°N and longitude 132.9°E which put the center about 355 miles (570 km) east of Okinawa.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 956 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin weakened slowly on Wednesday.  The circulation around Dolphin pulled some drier air close to the core of the typhoon.  The drier air caused thunderstorms in some parts of Typhoon Dolphin to weaken.

There was still a small circular eye at the center of Typhoon Dolphin.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.   Bands of showers and thunderstorms still were revolving around the core of Dolphin’s circulation.  There were wider areas of clear air in between the rainbands.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated less upper level divergence that pumped less mass away from the typhoon. The removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure increased on Wednesday.

The circulation around Typhoon Dolpin was still large on Wednesday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 140 miles (220 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 305 miles (490 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 13.9.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 44.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 58.6. Typhoon Dolphin is similar in intensity to Hurricane Sandy was when Sandy hit the East Coast of the U.S. in 2012.  Typhoon Dolphin is not quite as big as Sandy was.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be favorable for a strong typhoon during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  However, the drier air being pulled into Dolphin’s circulation will inhibit intensification.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to maintain its intensity on Thursday.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will be near Minami Daito Jima in 12 hours. The center of Typhoon Dolpin will approach Okinawa in 24 hours,

Typhoon Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Minami Daito Jima and to the central Ryukyu Islands including Okinawa later this week.  Heavy rains are likely to cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Dolphin could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along the coast of some of the islands.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Kujira dropped heavy rain on parts of Luzon.  Kujira weakened to a tropical depression after the center moved over Luzon.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Wednesday the center of Tropical Depression Kujira was located at latitude 17.3°N and longitude 121.6°E which put the center about 25 miles (40 km) northwest of Cauayan, Philippines.  Kujira was moving toward the east-southeast at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 997 mb.

 

Typhoon Dolphin Moves Toward Okinawa

Typhoon Dolphin moved toward Okinawa on Tuesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 25.5°N and longitude 137.7°E which put the center about 655 miles (1055 km) east of Okinawa.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 943 mb.

The intensity of Typhoon Dolphin fluctuated a little on Tuesday, but Dolphin ended the day as strong as it was when the day started.  A circular eye with a diameter of 25 miles (40 km) was at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.

Typhoon Dolphin appeared to pull some drier air into its circulation on Tuesday.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms still were revolving around the core of Dolphin’s circulation.  However, there were wider areas of clear air in between the rainbands.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was nearly equal to the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure did not change much again on Tuesday.

The circulation around Typhoon Dolpin got even larger on Tuesday.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 130 miles (210 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 290 miles (465 km) from the center of Typhoon Dolphin.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 20.6.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 40.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 61.2.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in intensity to Hurricane Irma was when Irma hit South Florida in 2017.  Typhoon Dolphin is much larger than Irma was.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to maintain its intensity on Wednesday unless another eyewall replacement cycle occurs.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will be near Minami Daito Jima in less than 36 hours.  The center of Typhoon Dolpin will be near Okinawa in 48 hours,

Typhoon Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Minami Daito Jima and to the central Ryukyu Islands including Okinawa later this week.  Heavy rains are likely to cause flash floods in some locations.  Typhoon Dolphin could also cause a storm surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) along the coast of some of the islands.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Kujira formed west of Luzon.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Kujira was located at latitude 17.6°N and longitude 119.0°E which put the center about 260 miles (420 km) northwest of Manila, Philippines.  Kujira was moving toward the west-northwest at 3 m.p.h. (5 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin Brings Wind and Rain to Iwo To

Typhoon Dolphin brought wind and rain to Iwo To on Monday.  The center of Dolphin’s circulation was still east of Iwo To.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 25.1°N and longitude 142.6°E which put the center about 105 miles (1650 km) east of Iwo To.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 11 m.p.h. (17 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 947 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin maintained its intensity after it completed another eyewall replacement cycle.  A circular eye with a diameter of 30 miles (50 km) was at the center of Dophin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was nearly equal to the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure did not change much on Monday.

Multiple eyewall replacement cycles have turned Dolphin into a large typhoon.  Winds to typhoon force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the northern side of Dolphin’s circulation. Winds to typhoon force only extended out 35 miles (55 km) in the southern side of Typhoon Dolphin.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 265 miles (425 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 20.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 25.1 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 45.7.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Irma was when Irma hit South Florida in 2017.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin could intensify on Tuesday unless another  eyewall replacement cycle occurs.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will cross Iwo To during the next few hours.  The center of Dolphin’s circulation will approach Minami Daito Jima in 48 hours.  The center of Typhoon Dolpin will be near Okinawa in 3 days,

Typhoon Dolphin will continue to bring strong winds and heavy rain to Iwo To on Tuesday.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods.  Typhoon Dolphin will be capable of causing major damage.

Typhoon Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Minami Daito Jima and to the central Ryukyu Islands including Okinawa later this week.

Typhoon Dolphin Approaches Iwo To

Typhoon Dolphin was approaching Iwo To on Sunday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 24.5°N and longitude 147.8°E which put the center about 445 miles (720 km) east of Iwo To.  Dolphin was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 115 m.p.h. (185 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 145 m.p.h. (235 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 949 mb.

Typhoon Dolphin appeared to be in the middle of another eyewall replacement cycle on Sunday evening.  A small circular eye was at the center of Dolphin’s circulation.  The eye was surrounded a ring of thunderstorms and the strongest winds occurred in that ring of storms.  A second larger ring of thunderstorms with a diameter of 35 miles (55 km) surrounded the inner eye and eyewall.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms revolved around the core of Typhoon Dolphin.  Storms near the core of Dolphin generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon.  The removal of mass in the upper levels was less than the convergence of mass in the lower levels of the atmosphere.  So, the surface pressure started to increase again on Sunday.

Multiple eyewall replacement cycles were having an effect on the structure of Typhoon Dolphin.   Winds to typhoon force extended out 90 miles (145 km) in the northern side of Dolphin’s circulation.  Winds to typhoon force only extended out 35 miles in the southern side of Typhoon Dolphin.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 265 miles (425 km) from the center of Dolphin’s circulation.

The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Dolphin is 20.6.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 25.5 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 46.1.  Typhoon Dolphin is similar in size and intensity to Hurricane Irma was when Irma hit South Florida in 2017.

Typhoon Dolphin will move through an environment that will be favorable for a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours.  Dolphin will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C.  It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Typhoon Dolphin is likely to weaken a little on Monday. as it completes the current eyewall replacement cycle.

Typhoon Dolphin will move around the southern side of a high pressure system that is over the Western North Pacific Ocean.  The high pressure system will steer Dolphin toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours.  On its anticipated track, the center of Typhoon Dolphin will reach Iwo To in 24 hours.  The center of Dolphin’s circulation will approach Minami Daito Jima in three days.  The center of Typhoon Dolpin will be near Okinawa To in 4 days,

Typhoon Dolphin will bring strong winds and heavy rain to Iwo To.  Heavy rain is likely to cause flash floods.  Typhoon Dolphin will be capable of causing major damage.

Powerful Typhoon Nanmadol Is East of Okinawa

Powerful Typhoon Nanamadol was east of Okinawa on Friday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Nanmadol was located at latitude 26.4°N and longitude 132.7°E which put it about 330 miles (530 km) east of Okinawa. Nanmadol was moving toward the northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 185 m.p.h. (295 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 926 mb.

Powerful Typhoon Nanmadol was churning over the Western North Pacific Ocean east of Okinawa on Friday night. A circular eye with a diameter of 23 miles (37 km) was present at the center of Nanmadol. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Nanmadol. Storms near the core generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon in all directions.

The size of the circulation around Typhoon Nanmadol increased on Friday when Nanmadol intensified. Winds to typhoon force extended out 100 miles (160 km) from the center of Nanmadol. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 260 miles (420 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Nanmadol was 31.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 28.0 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 59.6. Typhoon Nanmadol was capable of causing widespread severe damage.

Typhoon Nanmadol will move through an environment capable of supporting a powerful typhoon during the next 24 hours. Nanmadol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Nanmadol could maintain much of its intensity during the next 24 hours. If the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall, then concentric eyewalls could form. That would be the start of an eyewall replacement cycle that would cause Nanmadol to weaken.

Typhoon Nanmadol will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Nanmadol toward the northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track the center of Typhoon Nanmadol will be east of Minami Daito Jima within 12 hours. Nanmadol could be east of Amami Oshima in 24 hours. Typhoon Nanmadol will bring strong, gusty winds and heavy rain to parts of the northern Ryukyu Islands during the weekend. Nanmadol could be near western Kyushu in 36 hours.

Typhoon Nanmadol Rapidly Intensifies to Equivalent of a Major Hurricane

Typhoon Nanmadol rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane south of Japan during Thursday night. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Typhoon Nanmadol was located at latitude 24.1°N and longitude 135.4°E which put it about 535 miles (860 km) east-southeast of Okinawa. Nanmadol was moving toward the northwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 125 m.p.h. (200 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 155 m.p.h. (250 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 947 mb.

Typhoon Nanmadol rapidly intensified to the equivalent of a major hurricane over the Western North Pacific Ocean south of Japan during Thursday night. A well formed circular eye was present at the center of Nanmadol’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Nanmadol. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the typhoon in all directions.

The circulation around Typhoon Nanmadol was symmetrical. Winds to typhoon force extended out 60 miles (95 km) from the center of Nanmadol. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Nanmadol was 23.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 20.6 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 44.2. Typhoon Nanmadol was capable of causing widespread major damage.

Typhoon Nanmadol will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Nanmadol will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29˚C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Nanmadol will intensify during the next 24 hours. If the inner end of a rainband wraps around the existing eye and eyewall, then concentric eyewalls could form. That would be the start of an eyewall replacement cycle that would cause Nanmadol to weaken.

Typhoon Nanmadol will move around the southwestern part of a high pressure system over the Western North Pacific Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Nanmadol toward then northwest during the next 36 hours. On its anticipated track the center of Typhoon Nanmadol will be east of Minami Daito Jima within 24 hours. Nanmadol could be east of Amami Oshima in 36 hours. Typhoon Nanmadol will bring strong, gusty winds and heavy rain to parts of the northern Ryukyu Islands during the weekend.

Elsewhere over the Western North Pacific Ocean, Tropical Storm Muifa weakened over the northern Yellow Sea. At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Muifa was located at latitude 38.5°N and longitude 121.8°E which put it about 50 miles (80 km) northeast of Yantai, China. Muifa was moving toward the north-northeast at 16 m.p.h. (26 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Typhoon Hinnamnor Intensifies to Equivalent of Cat. 5 Hurricane

Typhoon Hinnamnor intensified to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale over the Western North Pacific Ocean near Minami Daito Jima on Tuesday afternoon. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Hinnamnor was located at latitude 26.1°N and longitude 131.2°E which put it about 55 miles (90 km) east-northeast of Minami Daito Jima and about 255 miles (410 km) east of Okinawa. Hinnamnor was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (29 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 160 m.p.h. (260 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 195 m.p.h. (315 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 915 mb.

Powerful Typhoon Hinnamnor was the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Tuesday afternoon. A circular eye with a diameter of 10 miles (16 km) was at the center of Hinnamnor’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Hinnamnor. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large quantities of mass away from the typhoon. The removal of large quantities of mass allowed the surface pressure to decrease.

The circulation around Typhoon Hinnamnor contracted in size when the typhoon intensified to Category 5. Winds to typhoon force extended out 25 miles (40 km) from the center of Hinnamnor. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Hinnamnor was 35.0. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 8.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 43.8. Hinnamnor was capable of causing regional catastrophic damage.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will move through an environment capable of supporting a strong typhoon during the next 24 hours. Hinnamnor will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are 30˚C. It will move through region where the winds at all levels of the troposphere are blowing from the east. Since the winds at different levels are blowing from the same direction, there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Hinnamnor could maintain much of its intensity during the next 24 hours, if the inner end of rainband does not wrap around the existing eye and eyewall. If concentric eyewalls form, then an eyewall replacement cycle could cause Typhoon Hinnamnor could to weaken temporarily.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will interact with Tropical Depression 13W that formed southeast of Okinawa during the next 24 hours. At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday morning center of Tropical Depression 13W was located at at latitude 20.5°N and longitude 133.0°E which put it about 555 miles (895 km) southeast of Okinawa. The tropical depression was moving toward the north at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will move toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours when its circulation interacts with the tropical depression. On its anticipated track the core of Typhoon Hinnamnor will be near Minami Daito Jima in a few hours. Hinnamnor could cause catastrophic wind damage on Minami Daito Jima. Very heavy rain could cause flash floods. Typhoon Hinnamnor will also cause a significant storm surge along the coast of Minami Daito Jima. Widespread electrical outages are likely. The center of Hinnamnor could be southeast of Okinawa in 12 hours.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will eventually absorb the circulation around the tropical depression. Hinnamnor could move slowly around the southern Ryukyu Islands while it absorbs the depression. A prolonged period of strong winds and heavy rain could affect the southern Ryukyu Islands later this week.

Powerful Typhoon Hinnamnor Moves Toward Okinawa

Powerful Typhoon Hinnamnor moved toward Okinawa on Tuesday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Hinnamnor was located at latitude 26.4°N and longitude 132.8°E which put it about 360 miles (575 km) east of Okinawa. Hinnamnor was moving toward the west at 18 m.p.h. (29 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 150 m.p.h. (240 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 185 m.p.h. (295 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 910 mb.

Powerful Typhoon Hinnamnor was the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale on Tuesday morning. A circular eye with a diameter of 10 miles (16 km) was at the center of Hinnamnor’s circulation. The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Typhoon Hinnamnor. Storms near the core generated strong upper level divergence that pumped large quantities of mass away from the typhoon.

The circulation around Typhoon Hinnamnor increased in size when the typhoon intensified. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 40 miles (65 km) from the center of Hinnamnor. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 185 miles (295 km) from the center of circulation. The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Typhoon Hinnamnor was 31.6. The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 15.3 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 46.9. Hinnamnor was capable of causing regional severe damage.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will move through an environment capable of supporting a strong typhoon during the next 24 hours. Hinnamnor will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are 30˚C. It will move through region where the winds at all levels of the troposphere are blowing from the east. Since the winds at different levels are blowing from the same direction, there will be little vertical wind shear. Typhoon Hinnamnor could intensify during the next 24 hours, if the inner end of rainband does not wrap around the existing eye and eyewall. Hinnamnor could strengthen to the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. If concentric eyewalls form, then an eyewall replacement cycle could cause Typhoon Hinnamnor could to weaken temporarily.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will interact with a tropical depression that formed southeast of Okinawa during the next 24 hours. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday morning the tropical depression was centered at latitude 19.7°N and longitude 133.1°E which put it about 585 miles (945 km) southeast of Okinawa. The tropical depression was moving toward the west at 6 m.p.h. (10 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will move toward the west-southwest during the next 24 hours when its circulation interacts with the tropical depression. On its anticipated track Typhoon Hinnamnor will be near Minami Daito Jima in 12 hours. Hinnamnor could cause severe wind damage on Minami Daito Jima. Very heavy rain could cause flash floods. Typhoon Hinnamnor will also cause a significant storm surge along the coast of Minami Daito Jima. Widespread electrical outages are likely. The center of Hinnamnor could be south of Okinawa in 24 hours.

Typhoon Hinnamnor will eventually absorb the circulation around the tropical depression. Hinnamnor could move slowly around the southern Ryukyu Islands while it absorbs the depression. A prolonged period of strong winds and heavy rain could affect the southern Ryukyu Islands later this week.

Maliksi Strengthens Into a Typhoon East of Okinawa

Former Tropical Storm Maliksi strengthened into a typhoon east of Okinawa near Minami Daito Jima late on Saturday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Saturday the center of Typhoon Maliksi was located at latitude 25.7°N and longitude 131.7°E which put it about 210 miles (335 km) east of Okinawa.  Maliksi was moving toward the northeast at 24 m.p.h. (39 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 970 mb.

The circulation of Typhoon Maliksi became more organized on Saturday.  An inner rainband wrapped around the center of circulation and an eye was apparent on satellite images.  There were intermittent breaks in the rings of thunderstorms around the eye.  Several bands of showers and thunderstorms in the eastern half of the circulation were revolving around the core of the typhoon.  Bands west of the center consisted primarily of showers and low clouds.  Storms near the core of Maliksi were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away to the northeast of the typhoon.  The circulation of Typhoon Maliksi was large and winds to tropical storm force extended out about 250 miles (400 km) from the center of circulation.

Typhoon Maliksi will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 12 to 24 hours.  Maliksi will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  An upper level trough to the west of Maliksi will produce southwesterly winds which will blow toward the top of the circulation.  Those winds will produce some vertical wind shear, but the shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification on Sunday.  The shear will increase after 18 to 24 hours and that will likely cause Maliksi to start to weaken.

The upper level trough is steering Maliksi toward the northeast and that general motion is expected to continue for another two or three days.  Typhoon Maliksi will speed past Minami Daito Jima during the next few hours.  On its anticipated track Maliksi will reach some of the islands south of Honshu in about 24 hours.  Typhoon Maliksi will produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain.