Tropical Depression Two Forms East of Cape Hatteras

Tropical Depression Two formed east of Cape Hatteras on Monday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Depression Two was located at latitude 35.0°N and longitude 73.7°W which put it about 105 miles (165 km) east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The tropical depression was moving toward the northeast at 21 m.p.h. (33 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

More thunderstorms developed near the center of a low pressure system east of North Carolina on Monday morning and the National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression Two. Bands of showers and thunderstorms also developed and the bands began to revolve around the center of the depression. Storms near the center of circulation generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical depression. The removal of mass cause the surface pressure to decrease.

Tropical Depression Two will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. The tropical depression will move over the warmer water of the Gulf Stream where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 27°C. An upper level trough east of the Great Lakes will produce southwesterly winds which will blow toward the top of the depression. Those winds will cause some vertical wind shear, but the shear will not be strong enough to prevent intensification. Tropical Depression Two will likely strengthen to a tropical storm during the next 12 hours.

The upper level trough east of the Great Lakes will steer Tropical Depression Two rapidly toward the northeast. On its anticipated track Tropical Depression Two will move away from the U.S. It could pass southeast of Nova Scotia on Tuesday.