Simon Intensifies Into a Major Hurricane

Hurricane Simon intensified rapidly on Saturday and it is now a Major Hurricane.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT the center of Hurricane Simon was located at latitude 20.6°N and longitude 115.0°W which put it about 365 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California and about 495 miles south of Punta Eugenia, Mexico.  Simon was moving toward the west-northwest at 14 m.p.h.  The maximum sustained wind speed was 120 m.p.h. and the minimum surface pressure was 950 mb.

Simon is the 8th hurricane to reach Major Hurricane intensity over the Eastern North Pacific during 2014.  This ties the record for the most Major Hurricanes in one year in that basin, which was set previously in 1983, 1992 and 1993.

Simon is moving around the western edge of a ridge centered over northern Mexico.  It should turn more toward the north on Sunday.  As Simon moves farther north, it will eventually move toward the northeast.  It could approach Baja California by the middle of next week.

Simon may be on the threshold of an eyewall replacement cycle.  If it goes through one of those cycles, there will be some fluctuations in intensity.  When Simon moves west of Baja California it will move over cooler Sea Surface Temperatures and begin to weaken.  Simon is likely to be a weakening tropical cyclone when it nears Baja California.