Typhoon Goni Turning North, May Threaten Okinawa

Typhoon Goni is slowly turning toward the north and moving away from northern Luzon.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Friday the center of Typhoon Goni was located at latitude 19.8°N and longitude 122.5°E which put it about 330 miles (530 km) south-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan and about 615 miles (990 km) southwest of Okinawa.  Goni was moving toward the north at 2 m.p.h. (3 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 956 mb.

Typhoon Goni will still be moving over warm Sea Surface Temperatures for the next several days and it has a chance to intensify.  The upper level winds are relatively light over the typhoon and there is not much vertical wind shear along its immediate path.  There appears to be an upper level outflow channel to the northeast.  Given the favorable environment Goni could intensify on Saturday.

Goni is moving around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system and it should begin to move toward the northeast a little more quickly.  On its anticipated track Goni could be near Ishigaki Jima in about 36 hours and near Okinawa in about 48 hours.  It could still be a strong typhoon at that time.  Goni could still by a typhoon when it approaches southwestern Kyushu in about three days.