Tropical Cyclone Jasper Moves Toward Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Jasper moved toward Queensland on Saturday. At 10:00 p.m. EST on Saturday the center of Tropical Cyclone Jasper was located at latitude 16.3°S and longitude 153.9°E which put it about 560 miles (900 km) east of Cairns, Australia. Jasper was moving toward the west-southwest at 8 m.p.h. (13 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 65 m.p.h. (105 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 80 m.p.h. (130 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 986 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Jasper weakened to the equivalent of a tropical storm on Saturday. An upper level trough near the coast of northeastern Australia produced northwesterly winds that blew toward the top of Jasper’s circulation. Those winds caused moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear disrupted the upper level divergence of mass to the west of Tropical Cyclone Jasper. The wind shear also caused the distribution of thunderstorms in Jasper to become asymmetrical. Thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern part of Tropical Cyclone Jasper. Bands in the northern side of Jasper’s circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The changes in the circulation of Tropical Cyclone Jasper also caused the wind field to become more asymmetrical. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 200 miles (320 km) in the southern half of Jasper’s circulation. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 140 miles (200 km) in the northern half of Tropical Cyclone Jasper.

Tropical Cyclone Jasper will move through an environment unfavorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Jasper will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. However, the upper level trough near the coast of northeastern Australia will continue to cause moderate vertical wind shear. The moderate vertical wind shear could cause Tropical Cyclone Jasper to continue to weaken during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Jasper will move around the northern part of a high pressure system over the South Pacific Ocean east of Australia. The high pressure system will steer Jasper toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Jasper will approach the north coast of Queensland in three days.