Tropical Cyclone Enawo moved toward Madagascar and strengthened on Sunday.  At 10:00 p.m. EST on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Enawo was located at latitude 14.0°S and longitude 54.1°E which put it about 340 miles (550 km) east-northeast of Mananara, Madagascar.  Enawo was moving toward the west at 7 m.p.h.  The maximum sustained wind speed was 105 m.p.h. (170 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 125 m.p.h. (205 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 961 mb.

The circulation of Tropical Cyclone Enawo is very well organized.  A circular eye is at the center of circulation.  The eye is surrounded by a ring of thunderstorms.  Additional bands of showers and thunderstorms are revolving around the core of the circulation.  The circulation is very symmetrical although there are more thunderstorms in the northwestern quadrant of the circulation.  Thunderstorms in the core of the circulation are generating upper level divergence which is pumping mass away from the tropical cyclone.

The size of the circulation of Tropical Cyclone Enawo increased on Sunday.  Winds to hurricane force extend out about 30 miles (50 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extend out about 250 miles (400 km) from the center.  The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Tropical Cyclone Enawo is 17.8.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) is 17.8 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) is 35.6.  These indices indicated that Tropical Cyclone Enawo is capable of causing serious wind damage on a regional scale.

Tropical Cyclone Enawo will continue to move through an favorable environment.  It will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C.  The upper level winds are weak and there is little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Cyclone Enawo will continue to intensify during the next 24 hours and it could become the equivalent of a major hurricane.

A subtropical ridge is steering Tropical Cyclone Enawo toward the west and a general west or west-southwest motion is expected to continue during the next several days.  On its anticipated track Tropical Cyclone Enawo will approach the coast of Madagascar in about 36 hours.  Enawo will be capable of causing serious wind damage.  It will also generate a storm surge along the coast.  Tropical Cyclone Enawo will produce very heavy rain and a potential for flooding over eastern and southern Madagascar.