Dolphin Becomes a Typhoon and Heads Toward Guam

Tropical Storm Dolphin moved into a more favorable environment and intensified into a typhoon on Tuesday.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Typhoon Dolphin was located at latitude 10.2°N and longitude 155.8°W which put it about 350 miles east-northeast of Chuuk and about 810 miles east-southeast of Guam.  Dolphin was moving toward the west at 8 m.p.h.  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. and there were gusts to 90 m.p.h.  The minimum surface pressure was 974 mb.

Dolphin moved closer to the axis of an upper level ridge and the vertical wind shear which was inhibiting its intensification diminished.  Since Dolphin is over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C, the decreased shear allow it to intensify into a typhoon.  Dolphin has a small well organized core circulation with a tiny eye at its center.  Spiral bands of thunderstorms radiate out from the center.  The upper level outflow produced by those thunderstorms has increased and the removal of mass is allowing the surface pressure to decrease.  Dolphin is expected to remain in a region of modest vertical wind shear and further intensification is likely.  A period of rapid intensification is possible.

A subtropical ridge is steering Dolphin toward the west.  The ridge is expected to steer it toward the west-northwest during the next two or three days.  On its anticipated track Dolphin would approach Guam in 48 to 60 hours and it could be a significant typhoon at that time.