Tropical Storm Nora Moves Into the Central Pacific

Tropical Storm Nora moved west of longitude 140°W on Sunday which meant that it officially crossed from the Eastern North Pacific into the Central North Pacific Ocean.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Tropical Storm Nora was located at latitude 13.5°N and longitude 143.8°W which put it about 860 miles (1385 km) east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.  Nora was moving toward the west-northwest at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 70 m.p.h. (110 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 85 m.p.h. (135 m.p.h.).  The minimum surface pressure was 993 mb.

Nora is a small tropical storm.  Wind to tropical storm force only extend out about 70 miles (110 km) from the center of circulation.  Most of the stronger thunderstorms are located northwest of the center of circulation and there is not much deep convection in the other parts of Nora.  Although Nora is over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C, southerly winds in the upper levels appear to be causing vertical wind shear.  The wind shear is likely to increase as an upper level trough north of Hawaii gets closer to Nora.

Tropical Storm Nora is nearing the western end of a subtropical ridge which has been steering it toward the west.  If the vertical structure of Nora remains intact, the tropical storm should turn toward the north during the next day or two.  After that time the upper level trough north of Hawaii could sweep Nora toward the northeast.  An alternate and possibly more likely scenario, given the small size of Tropical Storm Nora, is that the vertical wind shear blows the upper portion of the circulation north of the surface circulation.  If that happens, then the surface circulation will be steered westward until it dissipates by the winds in the lower atmosphere.