Tropical Cyclone Anggrek Continues to Weaken

Tropical Cyclone Anggrek continued to weaken over the South Indian Ocean west of Cocos Islands on Monday. At 4:00 p.m. EST on Sunday the center of Tropical Cyclone Anggrek was located at latitude 12.7°S and longitude 91.3°E which put it about 370 miles (595 km) west of Cocos Islands. Anggrek was moving toward the west-southwest at 3 m.p.h. (5 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1000 mb.

Tropical Cyclone Anggrek continued to meander over the same part of the South Indian Ocean on Monday. The slow meandering motion of Anggrek allowed the winds near the surface of the South Indian Ocean to mix more cooler water to the surface. The cooler water limited the flow of energy from the surface to the atmosphere. Many of the remaining thunderstorms in Anggrek’s circulation weakened. Some thunderstorms were still occurring in bands in the northern part of Tropical Cyclone Anggrek. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 80 miles (130 km) from the center of Anggrek’s circulation

Tropical Cyclone Anggrek will move through an environment that should become more favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Anggrek will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C, when it moves away from the cooler water that has mixed to the surface. Tropical Cyclone Anggrek will move under the northern part of an upper level ridge over the South Indian Ocean. The upper level ridge will produce easterly winds that will blow toward the top of Anggrek’s circulation. Those winds will cause moderate vertical wind shear. The wind shear will inhibit intensification but the shear might not be enough to prevent strengthening. Tropical Cyclone Anggrek strengthen during the next 24 hours.

Tropical Cyclone Anggrek will move around the northwestern part of a high pressure system west of Australia. The high pressure system west of Australia will steer Anggrek toward the southwest during the week 24 hours. On its anticipated track, Tropical Cyclone Anggrek will continue gradually move farther west of Cocos Islands.

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