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Hurricane Laura Strengthens over Central Gulf of Mexico

Hurricane Laura strengthened over the central Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday night.  At 11:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Laura was located 25.2°N and longitude 89.5°W which put it about 405 miles (655 km) southeast of Lake Charles, Louisiana.  Laura was moving toward the west-northwest at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 110 m.p.h. (175 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 978 mb.

A Hurricane Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from San Luis Pass, Texas to Intracoastal City, Louisana.  Tropical Storm Warnings were in effect for the portions of the coast from Sargent to San Luis Pass, Texas and from Intracoastal City, Louisiana to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.  A Tropical Storm Warning was also in effect for Houston, Texas.

Hurricane Laura intensified over the warm water in the central Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday night.  An eye was visible intermittently on satellite imagery.  The eye was surrounded by a ring of strong thunderstorms and the strongest winds were occurring in that ring of storms.  Bands of showers and thunderstorms were revolving around the core of Hurricane Laura.  Storms near the core generated upper level divergence which pumped mass away from the hurricane.  The removal of large quantities of mass was causing the pressure to decrease more rapidly.

The area of Laura with hurricane force winds expanded on Tuesday night.  Hurricane force winds extended out 45 miles (75 km) from the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) from the center.  The Hurricane Intensity Index (HII) for Hurricane Laura was 13.9.  The Hurricane Size Index (HSI) was 13.7 and the Hurricane Wind Intensity Size Index (HWISI) was 27.6.

Hurricane Laura will move through an environment favorable for intensification on Wednesday.  Laura will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Hurricane Laura will strengthen on Wednesday and it could intensify rapidly.  Laura will strengthen into a major hurricane and it could reach Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson Scale.

Hurricane Laura will move around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean.  The high will steer Laura toward the northwest during the next 12 to 18 hours.  The hurricane will turn toward the north when it reaches the western end of the high.  On its anticipated track Hurricane Laura will landfall near the border between Louisiana and Texas on Wednesday night.

Hurricane Laura will be a major hurricane when it makes landfall.  It will be capable of causing regional major wind damage.  Hurricane Laura will also cause a storm surge of 10 to 15 feet (3 to 5 meters) near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.  Locally heavy rain could cause flash floods in parts of east Texas and Louisiana when Hurricane Laura moves inland.

Laura Strengthens into a Hurricane

Former Tropical Storm Laura strengthened into a hurricane on Tuesday morning.  At 8:15 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Laura was located at latitude 23.4°N and longitude 86.4°W which put it about 625 miles (1005 km) southeast of Lake Charles, Louisiana.  Laura was moving toward the west-northwest at 17 m.p.h. (28 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 90 m.p.h. (145 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 991 mb.

A Hurricane Watch was in effect for the portion of the coast from San Luis Pass, Texas to Morgan City, Louisiana.  The Hurricane Watch includes Galveston, Texas.  Houston, Texas is under a Tropical Storm Watch.  Tropical Storm Watches are also in effect for the portions of the coast from Freeport to San Luis Pass, Texas and from Morgan City, Louisiana to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.

A Hurricane Hunter aircraft found on Tuesday morning that former Tropical Storm Laura had strengthened into a hurricane.  The distribution of thunderstorms around Laura was asymmetrical.  Many of the thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern half of the circulation and near the center of Laura.  Bands in the northern half of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Storms near the center of circulation were generating upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the hurricane.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) on the eastern side of Laura.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 100 miles (160 km) on the western side of the hurricane.

Hurricane Laura will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 30 hours.  Laura will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  It will move under an upper level high where the upper level winds are weak.  There will be little vertical wind shear.  Hurricane Laura will continue to intensify.  When an inner core is fully formed with an eye and an eyewall, Laura could strengthen more rapidly.  Laura will likely strengthen into a major hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico.

Hurricane Laura will move around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean.  The high will steer Laura toward the west-northwest during the next 12 hours.  Laura will turn more toward the northwest as it approaches the western end of the high.  On its anticipated track the center of Hurricane Laura will approach the portion of the coast between Freeport, Texas and Lake Charles, Louisiana on Wednesday night.

Hurricane Laura is likely to be a major hurricane when it approaches the coast.  In addition to the strong winds, Laura could create a storm surge of over 10 feet (3 meters) along a portion of the coast. Heavy rain could also cause flash floods in some locations.

Tropical Storm Laura Prompts Hurricane Watch for Northwest Gulf Coast

The potential threat from Tropical Storm Laura prompted the issuance of a Hurricane Watch for a portion of the northwest Gulf Coast on Monday afternoon.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Laura was located at latitude 21.7°N and longitude 82.2°W which put it about 40 miles (65 km) east of the Isle of Youth, Cuba.  Laura was moving toward the west-northwest at 20 m.p.h. (32 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 60 m.p.h. (95 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 75 m.p.h. (120 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1001 mb.

A Hurricane Watch was issued for the portion of the coast from Port Bolivar, Texas to Morgan CIty, Louisiana.  A Tropical Storm Watch was issued for the portion of the coast from Morgan City to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.  A Tropical Storm Warning remained in effect for the Florida Keys from Craig Key to Key West and the Dry Tortugas.  Tropical Storm Warnings were also in effect for the Cuban provinces of Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, Villa Carla, Cienfuegos, Matanzas, Mayabeque, La Habana, Artemisa, Pinar del Rio and Isle of Youth.

The appearance of Tropical Storm Laura did not change much on Monday afternoon.  Many of the stronger thunderstorms were occurring in bands in the southern half of the circulation.  bands in the northern half of the circulation consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out 175 miles (280 km) from the center on the eastern side of Laura.  Winds were blowing at less than tropical storm force in the western half of the circulation.

Tropical Storm Laura will move near Cuba for another 12 to 18 hours.  So, the flow of air across Cuba is likely to continue to disrupt the northern half of the circulation during the time period.  When Laura moves over the Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday , it will move into an environment favorable for intensification.  Tropical Storm Laura will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 30°C.  It will move into an area where the upper level winds will be weak and there will be little vertical wind shear.  Tropical Storm Laura will intensify into a hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico and it could strengthen into a major hurricane.

Tropical Storm Laura will move around the western end of a subtropical high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean.  The high will steer Laura toward the west-northwest during the next 12 to 24hours.  Laura will move more toward the north when it reaches the western end of the high.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Laura could make landfall on the northwest coast of the Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday night.  Laura could be a major hurricane when it makes landfall.

Elsewhere,  the center of Tropical Storm Marco was very close to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.  At 5:00 p.m. EDT on Monday the center of Tropical Storm Marco was located at latitude 29.0°N and longitude 88.9°W which put it about 15 miles (25 km) east-southeast of the Mouth of the Mississippi River.  Marco was moving toward the northwest at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.  All coastal watches and warnings for Tropical Storm Marco have been discontinued.

Tropical Storm Imelda Forms Along Upper Texas Coast

Tropical Storm Imelda formed along the Upper Texas coast on Tuesday.  At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Storm Imelda was located at latitude 29.0°N and longitude 95.3°W which put it near Freeport, Texas.  Imelda was moving toward the north at 7 m.p.h. (11 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1005 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning was in effect for the portion of the coast from Sargent to Port Bolivar, Texas.

A small low pressure system over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico exhibited greater organization on satellite and radar images on Tuesday.  When a surface weather station reported a sustained wind speed of 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h), the National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Imelda.  The winds to tropical storm force were occurring southeast of the center of circulation.  Winds to tropical storm force extended out about 45 miles (75 km) in the southeastern quadrant of Tropical Storm Imelda.

Tropical Storm Imelda will move around the western end of a warm high pressure system over the southeastern U.S.  The high will steer Imelda slowly toward the north during the next several days.  On its anticipated track Tropical Storm Imelda will move slowly inland over east Texas.  Although Imelda will cause a small storm surge along the coast around the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, locally heavy rain will pose a much greater risk.  Southeasterly winds blowing around the eastern side of Tropical Storm Imelda will transport very moist air over parts of eastern Texas.  Over a foot of rain (0.33 meters) could fall in some locations where rain bands linger.  Flash Flood Watches have been issued for a number of counties around Houston and Galveston.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean, Hurricane Humberto moved closer to Bermuda and Tropical Depression Ten formed east of the Lesser Antilles.  At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Hurricane Humberto was located at latitude 30.8°N and longitude 72.9°W which put it about 490 miles (785 km) west-southwest of Bermuda.  Humberto was moving toward the east-northeast at 9 m.p.h. (15 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 100 m.p.h. (160 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 120 m.p.h. (195 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 961 mb.

A Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning were in effect for Bermuda.

At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Tuesday the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located at latitude 12.9°N and longitude 44.9°W which put it about 1165 miles (1870 km) east-southeast of the Leeward Islands.  It was moving toward the west-northwest at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h).  The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h).  The minimum surface pressure was 1007 mb.  The depression is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane while it moves toward the northern Leeward Islands.