Tag Archives: Cabo Gracias a Dios

Tropical Storm Sara Forms Near Honduras

Tropical Storm Sara formed near Honduras on Thursday afternoon. At 1:00 p.m. EST on Thursday the center of Tropical Storm Sara was located at latitude 15.7°N and longitude 82.9°W which put the center about 50 miles (80 km) northeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios. Sara was moving toward the west at 12 m.p.h. (19 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 50 m.p.h. (80 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 999 mb.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the portion of the coast from Punta Sal, Honduras to the border with Nicaragua. A Tropical Storm Warning is also in effect for the Bay Islands of Honduras.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the portion of the coast from Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua to the border with Honduras.

A U.S. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft found that former Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen had strengthened on Thursday afternoon. Based on data from the reconnaissance plane, the U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Storm Sara.

The circulation around Tropical Storm Sara exhibited more organization on Thursday afternoon. More thunderstorms formed near the center of Sara’s circulation. More thunderstorms also developed in the bands revolving around the center of Tropical Storm Sara. Storms near the center of Sara generated upper level divergence that pumped mass away from the tropical storm. The removal of mass caused the surface pressure to decrease.

The strongest winds in Tropical Storm Sara were occurring in the part of Sara’s circulation that was over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Winds to tropical storm force extended out 70 miles (110 km) in the northern half of Tropical Storm Sara. The winds over land were not as strong.

Tropical Storm Sara will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 24 hours. Sara will move over water where where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 29°C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the Caribbean Sea. The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the upper level ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Storm Sara will continue to intensify during the next 24 hours unless the center of circulation moves inland over northern Honduras.

Tropical Storm Sara will move around the southern part of a high pressure system over the western Atlantic Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Sara slowly toward the west during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the center of Tropical Storm Sara will move parallel to the coast of Honduras.

Tropical Storm Sara will bring strong winds to the coast of Honduras and to the Bay Islands. Sara will also drop very heavy rain on Honduras and northern Nicaragua. Heavy rain will very likely cause floods and mudslides.

Hurricane Watch Issued for Honduras, Tropical Storm Watch for Nicaragua

Low Pressure System Forms Over Western Caribbean Sea

A low pressure system formed over the western Caribbean Sea on Sunday. The U.S. National Hurricane Center designated the system as Invest 97L. At 8:00 p.m. EDT on Sunday the center of Invest 97L was located at latitude 15.7°N and longitude 92.8°W which put the center about 425 miles (690 km) southeast of Cozmel, Mexico. The low pressure system was moving toward the north-northwest at 5 m.p.h. (8 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 25 m.p.h. (40 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1006 mb.

A low pressure system formed over the western Caribbean Sea northeast of Cabo Gracias a Dios on Sunday. Thunderstorms developed in the eastern side of the low pressure that was over the western Caribbean Sea. Much of the western side of Invest 97L was over Honduras and Nicaragua. Bands in the western side of the low pressure system consisted primarily of showers and lower clouds.

The low pressure system designated as Invest 97L will move through an environment favorable for the formation of a tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours. Invest 97L The tropical depression will be over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 30°C. It will move under the middle of an upper level ridge over the western Caribbean Sea. The upper level winds are weak near the middle of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. Invest 97L is likely to form into a tropical depression or a tropical storm on Monday.

A reconnaissance plane is tentatively scheduled to investigated the low pressure system on Monday afternoon, if necessary.

The low pressure system designated as Invest 97L will move around the western end of a high pressure system over the western Atlantic Ocean. The high pressure system will steer Invest 97L toward the north-northwest during the next 24 hours. On its anticipated track, the low pressure system will move over the northwestern Caribbean Sea on Monday. Invest 97L is likely to move into the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of the week.

Tropical Cyclone Likely to Form East of Lesser Antilles

A tropical cyclone is likely to form over the Atlantic Ocean east of the Lesser Antilles during the next few days. The tropical cyclone is likely to develop from a tropical wave currently designated as Invest 95L. At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of the tropical wave located at latitude 9.7°N and longitude 35.4°W which put the center about 1720 miles (2775 km) east of the Lesser Antilles. The tropical wave was moving toward the west at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1009 mb.

A tropical cyclone is likely to form east of the Lesser Antilles from a tropical wave currently designated as Invest 95L. The structure of Invest 95L exhibited more organization on satellite imagery on Thursday afternoon. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were beginning to revolve around a possible center of circulation. Storms in those bands began to generate upper level divergence that was pumping mass away from the tropical wave.

The tropical wave designated as Invest 95L will move through an environment favorable for the formation of a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. The tropical wave will will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperatures are near 28°C. Invest 95L will move under the axis of an upper level ridge over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. The upper level winds are weak near the axis of the ridge and there will be little vertical wind shear. The U.S. National Hurricane Center is indicating the probability is 80% that the tropical wave designated as Invest 95L develops into a tropical cyclone.

The tropical wave designated as Invest 95L will move around the southern side of a high pressure system over the Atlantic Ocean. The high pressure system will steer the tropical wave toward the west during the next several days. On its anticipated track, Invest 95L could approach the Lesser Antilles by the end of the weekend. Invest 95L could strengthen to a hurricane by the time it approaches the Lesser Antilles.

Elsewhere, a tropical wave designated as Invest 94L was over the Northwest Caribbean Sea. The U.S. National Hurricane Center was indicating the probability was 30% that Invest 94L develops into a tropical cyclone. At 2:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday the center of that tropical wave located at latitude 15.4°N and longitude 83.3°W which put the center about 35 miles (55 km) north of Cabo Gracias a Dios. Invest 94L was moving toward the west-northwest at 15 m.p.h. (24 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 30 m.p.h. (50 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 40 m.p.h. (65 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.

Tropical Depression Fourteen Forms Over Western Caribbean

Tropical Depression Fourteen formed over the western Caribbean Sea on Thursday morning. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen was located at latitude 15.1°N and longitude 79.7°W which put it about 235 miles (375 km) east of Cabo Gracias a Dios. The depression was moving toward the west at 21 m.p.h. (33 km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1007 mb.

A Tropical Storm Watch was issued for the portion of the coast of Honduras from the border with Nicaragua to Punta Castilla including the Bay Islands.

Satellite images on Thursday morning indicated that a center of circulation had developed within a tropical wave over the western Caribbean Sea and the National Hurricane Center designated the system as Tropical Depression Fourteen. The circulation around Tropical Depression Fourteen was still organizing. Bands of showers and thunderstorms were developing and they were beginning to revolve around the center of circulation. Storms near the center started to generate upper level divergence which was pumping mass away from the depression.

Tropical Depression Fourteen will move through an environment favorable for intensification during the next 36 to 48 hours. The depression will move over water where the Sea Surface Temperature is near 29°C. It will move through a region where the upper level winds are weak and the will be little vertical wind shear. Tropical Depression Fourteen will strengthen during the next day or two.

Tropical Depression Fourteen will move around the southwester part of a subtropical high pressure system over the North Atlantic Ocean. The high will steer the depression toward the west-northwest during the next 24 hours. The depression will turn toward the northwest on Friday when it gets closer to the western end of the high. On its anticipated track Tropical Depression Fourteen will pass near the coast of Honduras on Friday. It will approach the Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday. The depression could drop heavy rain over eastern Honduras and flash floods will be possible.

Elsewhere over the Atlantic Ocean,, Tropical Depression Thirteen was speeding toward the northern Leeward Islands. At 11:00 a.m. EDT on Thursday the center of Tropical Depression Thirteen was located at latitude 16.0°N and longitude 52.0°W which put it about 750 miles (1205 km) east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. The depression was moving toward the west-northwest at 21 m.p.h. (33km/h). The maximum sustained wind speed was 35 m.p.h. (55 km/h) and there were wind gusts to 45 m.p.h. (75 km/h). The minimum surface pressure was 1008 mb.

Tropical Storm Watches were in effect for Saba and St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, St. Kitts, Nevis, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla.

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